AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO)
Industrials · Aerospace and Defense · NASDAQ
An integrated aerospace and defense platform providing mission-critical drone, avionics, training, and next-generation air mobility solutions to military and commercial customers.
What AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC does
AIRO Group Holdings is an integrated aerospace and defense technology platform organized into four operating segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The company provides a range of products and services, including military and commercial drones, avionics systems for aircraft, specialized military pilot training, and the development of electric/hybrid-electric compound rotorcraft. AIRO serves government, military, and commercial end-users, leveraging its international footprint and deep relationships with public sector agencies.
Recent developments
The company reiterated its full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15% to 25% and confirmed its Drone segment backlog at $163 million. Recent milestones include the RQ-35 platform achieving Blue UAS certification and the Phoenix manufacturing facility attaining AS9100D certification.
From AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC's filing of 2026-08-13.
Themes: Defense technology, Autonomous systems, Advanced air mobility (AAM), Military pilot training, Avionics modernization, Government contracting
Fundamentals
- Price$6.15 as of 2026-10-08 close
- Market cap$194M as of 2026-08-10 (share count; price 2026-10-08)
- 1-year return-69.0% 2025-10-08 close $19.83 → 2026-10-08 close $6.15
- P/En/a negative earnings
- Net margin-4.5% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- Gross margin+59.9% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- ROE-0.6% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- Debt / equity0.00 as of 2026-09-03
- Revenue growth (YoY)+4.6% FY2025 vs FY2024, SEC XBRL
- Beta2.87 as of 2026-09-03
- Last reported earnings2026-08-13 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
How AIRO compares in its sector
- net profit marginbottom 25% 417 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- operating marginbottom 10% 392 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- gross margintop 10% 253 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- return on equitybottom 25% 432 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)bottom 25% 417 covered Industrials peers, as of FY2025
Position among covered Industrials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
How AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC looks technically
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) is trading 27.4% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average has held below its 200-day average for at least 123 trading days — a long-sustained "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. There is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 19, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 31, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 8 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative). It just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-07-13, breaking below its recent trading range. It is 72.6% below its highest point of the past year.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 27.4% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -27.4% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $7.54 | $7.54 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $8.47 | $8.47 |
| Swing structure | its recent peaks and dips disagree — one of them is rising while the other is not, so there is no clean up or down pattern in the swings | mixed — one of the two is not confirming |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 21 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 21 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a completed three-part upward correction — a pullback in the A-B-C shape Elliott-wave chartists use; the labelling fails if price closes above 7.56. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible three-wave upward correction, complete (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average has held below its 200-day average for at least 123 trading days — a long-sustained "death cross", a bearish long-term signal | at least 123 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | there is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 19, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend | 18.7 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 31, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 31.4 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading near the bottom of its 14-day range ($6.04 to $7.46) — its "stochastic" reading is 8 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions. | 7.8 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 8 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative) | 8 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $22.47 | $22.47 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 72.6% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -72.6% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 7.7% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +7.7% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 72.6% below its highest point of the past year | 72.6% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-07-13, breaking below its recent trading range | 1 session |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it just made a new 55-day low, its first since 2026-07-13, breaking below its recent trading range | 1 session |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $39.07 (set on 2025-06-13) | $39.07 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($5.85 to $20.08), and it has recovered only a small part of its fall from last year’s high — 2% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $14.64 to $15.10. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 2.1% |
| From the all-time high | it is 84.3% below its all-time high | -84.3% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 18.5% below a resistance level at $7.29 — a price it turned at twice since 2025-12-18, most recently on 2026-03-31. Since 2025-06-13 it has 0 such levels below the current price and 5 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | +18.5% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $5.71 (set on 2026-05-20) | $5.71 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 7.7% above its all-time low | +7.7% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are narrower than usual versus its own recent 6-month history (tighter than about 81% of it) | 19th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.3658 between its high and its low — about 6.0% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.3658 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $6.19 and $7.65 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $6.19 – $6.92 – $7.65 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 6.0% in a typical session — more volatile than most companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 6.0% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 6.3 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (27.4% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 6.3 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 1.22× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | not available for this company yet | n/a |
Candlestick patterns
1
| Since a doji | 2 sessions ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | 2 sessions ago |
|---|
Price gaps
2
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-10-08 1.3% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and had not traded back through that level by the close | -1.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Gap filled | a 2.3% gap up opened on 2026-10-02 has been "filled" 4 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it | 4 sessions ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it has closed lower 2 sessions in a row, a -5.82% move over the run — an unbroken run of down days, which describes what has already happened and says nothing about the next session | 2 sessions down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 17.1 percentage points (the stock lost 16.1% while the market gained 1.0%) | -17.1% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 10.8 percentage points (the stock lost 7.0% while the market gained 3.8%) | -10.8% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 47.2 percentage points (the stock lost 29.7% while the market gained 17.5%) | -47.2% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 84.0 percentage points (the stock lost 69.0% while the market gained 15.0%) | -84.0% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 1 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it is currently in a bullish state: near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 1 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 6 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, MACD momentum is negative, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 6 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 28% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-01 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is moderate, spanning 6.1% of the share price. | -27.7% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 31% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $8.85 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 183 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -30.5% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 24% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-13 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $8.11 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 40 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -24.2% |
Price levels it has turned at before
AIRO last closed at $6.15 on 2026-10-08. Since 2025-06-13 it has turned at 0 prices below its last close and 5 above; the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $7.29 | Resistance | 18.5% above the last close | turned there twice · 2025-12-18 to 2026-03-31 |
| $7.57 | Resistance | 23.1% above the last close | turned there four times · 2025-11-25 to 2026-09-17 |
| $8.36 | Resistance | 36.0% above the last close | turned there twice · 2026-02-05 to 2026-07-02 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a three-part upward correction — the A-B-C shape chartists use for a pullback — now complete.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $7.56.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
This reading has stood for 11 trading days, since 2026-09-24.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-08.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Pulled back from the 12-month high · Broke down to a new 20-day low · trendless / choppy (low ADX) · lagging the market · Stretched far below its 200-day average (6+ daily ranges) | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · macd · breakout · fifty two week high low
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-08. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Mean price target$16.50 range $13.00 – $20.00
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-08. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for AIRO
- Consensus EPS estimate-$0.2 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-08
- Estimate change, 30 days$0.00 from -$0.2, on 2026-09-07, 31-day window
- Readings revised upward0% of 8 comparable readings
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["High reliance on government contracts and military procurement timing.","Significant customer and revenue concentration, particularly within the Drones segment.","Ongoing capital intensity and potential future funding requirements for growth initiatives."]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of AIRO's 10-Q filed 2026-08-13 against the prior one filed 2026-05-14.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Added:
- Newer MD&A covers the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, while older covers the three months ended March 31, 2026.
- Newer filing adds: 'During the second quarter of 2026, our consolidated Phoenix manufacturing facility achieved AS9100D certification, reinforcing our manufacturing quality and supporting future growth across general aviation and advanced aerospace markets.'
- Newer filing adds in Drones segment: 'During the second quarter of 2026, we completed significant customer deliveries of our RQ-35 platform, including the first operational deployment featuring our proprietary Zentra camera suite, and announced that the RQ-35 had been added to the U.S. Department of War ("DoW") Blue UAS list, expanding its eligibility for U.S. government procurement.'
- Newer filing describes the RQ-70 platform to include 'greater endurance' among its expanded operational capabilities, which the older filing did not mention.
- Removed:
- Older filing describes the RQ-70 as an 'RQ-70 ISR platform'; newer filing omits 'ISR' in that description.
- Reworded:
- Segment order changed between filings: Newer lists segments as 'Avionics, Drones, Electric Air Mobility, and Training'; older lists them as 'Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility'.
- Segment description order in the body changed correspondingly (Avionics appears first in newer, Drones first in older).
- Total addressable market wording changed from 'combined total addressable market estimated to be over $315.4 billion by 2030' (older) to 'total addressable market of over $315 billion by 2030' (newer).
- Training segment description changed from 'but the segment is capital-intensive and often requires meaningful ongoing investment' (older) to 'although the segment is capital-intensive and often requires meaningful ongoing investment' (newer).
- Notes:
- The newer MD&A text provided appears truncated at 'We believe that our operating results for the foreseeable future will continu' and the older at 'could cause fluctuations'; additional changes beyond the truncation point could not be assessed.
Risk Factors
- Added:
- Newer filing (2026-08-13) adds equity award disclosure: On August 13, 2026, the Compensation Committee granted time-based RSUs under the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan valued at $1.8 million to each of John Uczekaj, Chief Operating Officer, and Dr. Mariya Pylypiv, Chief Financial Officer, with 1/6 vesting on the grant date and the remainder vesting in ten quarterly installments beginning September 1, 2026.
- Newer filing (2026-08-13) adds three exhibits to the exhibit index: Exhibit 10.16 (Incentive Agreement dated June 28, 2024 with Dangroup ApS), Exhibit 10.17 (First Amendment to Incentive Agreement dated December 11, 2024 with Dangroup ApS), and Exhibit 10.18 (Second Amendment to Incentive Agreement dated June 11, 2026 with Dangroup ApS).
- Reworded:
- Older filing (2026-05-14) states 'During the first quarter of 2026, there were no material changes to our previously disclosed risk factors.' Newer filing (2026-08-13) states 'During the second quarter of 2026, there were no material changes to our previously disclosed risk factors.'
- Older filing (2026-05-14) states 'During the quarter ended March 31, 2026, none of our directors or officers...' Newer filing (2026-08-13) states 'During the quarter ended June 30, 2026, none of our directors or officers...'
- Newer filing (2026-08-13) signature page dated August 13, 2026; older filing (2026-05-14) signature page dated May 14, 2026.
- Notes:
- The 'Risk Factors' section in both filings indicates no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors; differences lie elsewhere in the extracted document content.
- The provided texts include content beyond the Risk Factors section (Items 2 through 6 and signature pages), which is where the identified changes appear.
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
0 open-market purchases and 6 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-04. The 5 days since 2026-10-04 have not been checked yet.
- Last 90 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 6 sells ($465598) — 2 selling insiders
- Last 180 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 8 sells ($696714) — 2 selling insiders
Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-09-02. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-04; anything filed since is not yet included.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about AIRO's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
5 institutional 13F filers reported holding AIRO as of 2026-06-30 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 5
- Reported shares held 2,180,042
- Reported value $16,110,510
reported quarterly holdings change (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30): 1 new, 3 increased, 1 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Ask about AIRO's institutional holders → See what each manager we track holds →
Short interest (FINRA)
AIRO had 3,125,956 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
AIRO had 9.91% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 8.76 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 3,125,956
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 9.91%
- Prior settlement (shares) 2,983,224
- Reported change 4.78%
- Days to cover (reported) 8.76
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-15 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Honeywell (HON)
- Joby Aviation (JOBY)
- Pilatus Aircraft
- Robinson Helicopter Company
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
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Frequently asked questions
What does AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) do?
AIRO Group Holdings is an integrated aerospace and defense technology platform organized into four operating segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The company provides a range of products and services, including military and commercial drones, avionics systems for aircraft, specialized military pilot training, and the development of electric/hybrid-electric compound rotorcraft.
What sector is AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) in?
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) is classified in the Industrials sector. Its industry is Aerospace and Defense. It trades on NASDAQ.
Who are AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC's (AIRO) competitors?
Notable peers of AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) include Honeywell, Joby Aviation, Pilatus Aircraft and Robinson Helicopter Company. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) overbought or oversold right now?
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INC (AIRO) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 31, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-10-08). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on AIRO come from?
Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-03; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-10-08.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.