Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK)
Information Technology · Autonomous Trucking / Autonomous Vehicle Software · NASDAQ
Kodiak AI develops and deploys AI-powered autonomous trucking software (the Kodiak Driver) for commercial and defense logistics, operating via a Driver-as-a-Service model.
What Kodiak AI, Inc. does
Kodiak AI is a provider of physical AI technology focused on autonomous vehicle systems for trucking. The company has developed the Kodiak Driver, a unified AI system that enables driverless trucks to safely operate in long-haul, industrial, and defense applications. As of March 2026, Kodiak Driver-powered vehicles have logged over 23,500 cumulative hours of paid driverless operations and delivered over 15,600 loads. The company operates primarily via a Driver-as-a-Service (DaaS) model, generating recurring revenue through per-vehicle or per-mile licensing fees with customers including Atlas Energy Solutions, J.B. Hunt, Werner Enterprises, C.R. England, and Martin Brower, as well as U.S. military contracts.
Themes: Autonomous trucking / driverless vehicles, AI-powered transportation, Physical AI systems, Supply chain / logistics automation, Defense autonomous systems, Software-as-a-Service (recurring licensing)
Fundamentals
- Price$3.95 as of 2026-08-26 close
- Market cap$792M as of 2026-08-26
- P/En/a negative earnings
- Net margin-15420.7% as of 2026-08-26
- ROE-99.7% as of 2026-08-26
- Debt / equity9.14 as of 2026-08-26
- Revenue growth (YoY)-74.6% FY2025 vs FY2024, SEC XBRL
- Revenue CAGR (3y)-52.7% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.51 as of 2026-08-26
- Last reported earnings2026-08-06 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
How KDK compares in its sector
- net profit marginbottom 10% 405 covered Information Technology peers, as of 2026-08-26
- operating marginbottom 10% 405 covered Information Technology peers, as of 2026-08-26
- return on equitybottom 10% 405 covered Information Technology peers, as of 2026-08-26
- 3-year revenue CAGRbottom 10% 386 covered Information Technology peers
- free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)bottom 10% 382 covered Information Technology peers, as of FY2025
Position among covered Information Technology companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
How Kodiak AI, Inc. looks technically
Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) is trading 46.6% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average has held below its 200-day average for at least 22 trading days — a long-sustained "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. A trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 21 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend). Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 41, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). It made a new 20-day low about 3 trading days ago.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 46.6% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -46.6% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $4.64 | $4.64 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $7.39 | $7.39 |
| Swing structure | each recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes next | lower highs and lower lows |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 22 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 22 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 5 of five; the labelling fails if price closes above 4.66. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 5 (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average has held below its 200-day average for at least 22 trading days — a long-sustained "death cross", a bearish long-term signal | at least 22 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | a trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 21 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend) | 20.9 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 41, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 40.9 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading in the lower half of its 14-day range ($3.76 to $4.65) — its "stochastic" reading is 21 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions. | 21.4 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in positive territory (momentum leaning bullish) | 27 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $11.35 | $11.35 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 65.2% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -65.2% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 5.1% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +5.0% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 65.2% below its highest point of the past year | 65.2% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it made a new 20-day low about 3 trading days ago | 3 sessions |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day low about 3 trading days ago | 3 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $11.35 (set on 2025-12-22) | $11.35 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | not available for this company yet | n/a |
| From the all-time high | it is 65.2% below its all-time high | -65.2% |
| Nearest price level | not enough price history yet — needs 252 trading sessions | n/a |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $3.76 (set on 2026-08-24) | $3.76 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 5.1% above its all-time low | +5.0% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are about average versus its own recent 6-month history | 35th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.273 between its high and its low — about 6.9% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.273 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $3.71 and $4.62 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $3.71 – $4.17 – $4.62 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 6.9% in a typical session — more volatile than most companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 6.9% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 12.6 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (46.6% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 12.6 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 1.09× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts have cut their average price target by 3.5% since the prior reading | -3.5% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading | unchanged |
Candlestick patterns
1
| Since a doji | 7 sessions ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | 7 sessions ago |
|---|
Price gaps
3
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-08-26 0.3% above the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close | +0.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Open gap | it gapped 3.6% above the previous close 1 session ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 3.79 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed | +3.6% |
| Gap filled | a 2.1% gap up opened on 2026-08-13 has been "filled" 9 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it | 9 sessions ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it closed lower in its latest session, after a session that did not close lower — a single down day rather than a run | 1 session down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 8.5 percentage points (the stock lost 4.8% while the market gained 3.7%) | -8.5% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 52.0 percentage points (the stock lost 49.2% while the market gained 2.7%) | -52.0% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 63.5 percentage points (the stock lost 52.4% while the market gained 11.1%) | -63.5% |
| vs market, 12 months | not available for this company yet | n/a |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 1 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it is currently in a bullish state: MACD momentum is positive — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 1 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 5 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 5 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 21% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-21 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thick, spanning 51.1% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that has held for a while and takes effort to cross. | -21.1% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 41% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $6.73 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 153 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -41.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 4% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-06 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $4.12 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 15 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -4.2% |
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 5 of five.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $4.66.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $0.2752 and $2.99 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.
This labelling was already in place when we began recording count changes on 2026-08-13, so how long it has stood is not something we can say yet.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-26.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Broke down to a new 20-day low · Analyst price target recently CUT · Most volatile (6%+ typical daily range) · Stretched far below its 200-day average (6+ daily ranges) · Under water since its last earnings report (below the anchored VWAP) | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · breakout
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-26. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingStrong Buy (1.00 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 6 analysts
- Mean price target$11.42 range $8.50 – $13.00; median $12.00
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-22. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for KDK
- Consensus EPS estimate-$0.215 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-22
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Revenue generated from deployed autonomous trucks remains minimal; company has not yet demonstrated significant commercial scale or profitability from the DaaS model, and transition from owned-truck operations to customer-owned DaaS deployment faces execution and adoption risks","The autonomous trucking industry lacks regulatory clarity; federal and state regulations governing driverless commercial vehicles are still evolving, and unfavorable regulatory changes or accidents could halt deployment and market adoption","Intense competition from well-capitalized autonomous vehicle technology providers (Waymo, Tesla, others), government-backed research institutions, and traditional trucking companies with AI capabilities could limit market share, pricing power, and technology differentiation"]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of KDK's 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 against the prior one filed 2025-11-13.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Added:
- Reference to audited consolidated financial statements and Form 10-K filed March 11, 2026 (newer filing only)
- Metric update: As of March 31, 2026, Kodiak Driver-powered vehicles have logged over 23,500 Cumulative Hours of Paid Driverless Operations and delivered over 15,600 loads (newer filing)
- Kodiak described as 'leading provider of physical AI' instead of 'leading provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered autonomous vehicle (AV) technology' (newer filing)
- Statement that DaaS model 'was launched' changed to 'we launched' (newer filing)
- Reference to freight network spanning 'approximately 25,000 miles' instead of 'nearly 23,000 miles' (newer filing)
- Additional text: 'We anticipate scaling our deployment with Atlas over the course' appears at end of newer filing excerpt
- Removed:
- Reference to 'as contemplated by a definitive business combination agreement (the "BCA")' in Merger description (older filing only)
- Separate 'Recent Developments' section with detailed Merger subsection (older filing only)
- Detailed explanation of reverse recapitalization accounting and Legacy Kodiak survival as wholly owned subsidiary (older filing only)
- Specific reference to 'definitive business combination agreement dated April 14, 2025' (older filing only)
- Statement that 'Legacy Kodiak's financial statements for historical periods will be included in Kodiak's future periodic reports' (older filing only)
- Breakdown of net proceeds use and description of additional public company expenses (older filing only)
- Metric: As of September 30, 2025, over 5,200 Cumulative Hours of Paid Driverless Operations and over 10,000 loads over 3,000,000 autonomous miles driven (older filing only)
- Reworded:
- Overview opening changed from 'addressing the needs of the long-haul trucking...' to 'with a focus on AI-powered autonomous vehicle (AV) technology, that is designed to help tackle some of the toughest driving jobs' (newer filing)
- Capitalized 'DaaS' introduced earlier and more consistently in newer filing
- Changed from 'will be provided with access' to 'are provided with access' (newer filing uses present tense)
- Changed from 'building predictable recurring revenue' to 'generating predictable recurring revenue' (newer filing)
- Changed from 'scales with our customers' growth' to 'can scale with our customers' growth' (newer filing)
- Integration of Merger discussion directly into Item 2 opening instead of separate 'Recent Developments' section (newer filing restructure)
- Notes:
- Older filing covers period ended September 30, 2025; newer filing covers period ended March 31, 2026 - metrics naturally differ due to different reporting dates
- Text appears truncated at end of newer filing excerpt, preventing full comparison of remaining MD&A sections
- Restructuring of content (Merger details moved from 'Recent Developments' to opening of Item 2) may reflect formatting changes rather than substantive content changes
Risk Factors
- Reworded:
- Older filing (2025-11-13): 'We have incurred net losses since inception and may not achieve or maintain profitability.' Changed to newer filing (2026-05-08): 'We have a history of net losses, and may not be able to achieve or maintain profitability in the future.'
- Older filing (2025-11-13): 'Any flaws or misuse of autonomous vehicle ( "AV" ) technology...' Changed to newer filing (2026-05-08): 'Any flaws or misuse of AV technology...' (removed full spelling of 'autonomous vehicle' in parenthetical)
- Older filing (2025-11-13): 'Our success is contingent on our ability to execute our Driver-as-a-Service ( " DaaS " ) business model...' Changed to newer filing (2026-05-08): 'Our success is contingent on our ability to execute our DaaS business model...' (removed full spelling of 'Driver-as-a-Service' in parenthetical)
- Notes:
- Both filings appear truncated at the end of the 'Risks Related to Our Business' section, preventing full comparison of all risk factor details
- The comparison covers the Risk Factor Summary and opening sections of the detailed risk factors; substantive differences in later sections cannot be assessed due to text truncation
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
No open-market insider purchases or sales are on record for KDK — recent Form 4 activity was compensation-related (awards, option exercises, or tax withholding), not open-market buying or selling.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsOnly open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
4 institutional 13F filers reported holding KDK as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 4
- Reported shares held 7,471,366
- Reported value $51,851,280
reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 4 increased, 0 decreased, 1 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Short interest (FINRA)
KDK had 8,309,199 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
KDK had 4.14% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 10.68 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 8,309,199
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 4.14%
- Prior settlement (shares) 8,278,345
- Reported change 0.37%
- Days to cover (reported) 10.68
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Waymo (GOOGL)
- Aurora Innovation (AUR)
- TuSimple
- Embark Technology
- Mobileye (INTC)
- Tesla Autopilot/Full Self-Driving
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
Compare KDK vs…
Frequently asked questions
What does Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) do?
Kodiak AI is a provider of physical AI technology focused on autonomous vehicle systems for trucking. The company has developed the Kodiak Driver, a unified AI system that enables driverless trucks to safely operate in long-haul, industrial, and defense applications. As of March 2026, Kodiak Driver-powered vehicles have logged over 23,500 cumulative hours of paid driverless operations and delivered over 15,600 loads.
What sector is Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) in?
Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) is classified in the Information Technology sector. Its industry is Autonomous Trucking / Autonomous Vehicle Software. It trades on NASDAQ.
Who are Kodiak AI, Inc.'s (KDK) competitors?
Notable peers of Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) include Waymo, Aurora Innovation, TuSimple, Embark Technology and Mobileye. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) overbought or oversold right now?
Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 41, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-26). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on KDK come from?
Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-26; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-26. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-08-26.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.