Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR)

Industrials · HVAC equipment manufacturing · NYSE

Madison Air Solutions is a manufacturer of HVAC systems and air quality management technology for residential and commercial use.

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What Madison Air Solutions Corp does

Madison Air Solutions Corp is a provider of indoor air quality and temperature management equipment. The company manufactures and distributes heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems and associated air handling solutions for residential and commercial applications.

Themes: indoor air quality, climate control, HVAC technology

Fundamentals

Price$23.22 as of 2026-10-21 close
Market cap$11.6B as of 2026-07-28 (share count; price 2026-10-21)
P/En/a earnings data not available
ROICn/a No figure: its 10-K tags no operating income.
Debt / equity0.84 borrowings incl. finance leases / equity — 10-Q/10-K balance sheet 2026-06-30
Beta2.50 as of 2026-09-03
Last reported earnings2026-07-30 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)

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Quarterly results

Balance sheet at 2026-06-30

Cash and equivalents$262M
Total debt$3.1B borrowings incl. finance leases (not tagged separately)
Net debt$2.8B total debt − cash − short-term investments

From the company's own SEC 10-Q and 10-K filings (XBRL), re-read every week. Figures in US dollars as filed; informational only — not financial advice.

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How Madison Air Solutions Corp looks technically

Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR): a strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 26, with sellers in control. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 38, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). It made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago.

Trend

Distance from the 200-day	not enough price history yet — needs 200 trading sessions	n/a
50-day moving average	its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $25.64	$25.64
200-day moving average	not enough price history yet — needs 200 trading sessions	n/a
Swing structure	each recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes next	lower highs and lower lows
Last swing turn	its last significant turn was a swing high 27 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on	27 sessions
Wave structure	its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five; the labelling fails if price closes above 25.55. It is one of several labellings that fit, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C.	possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 3 (one of several readings)
Since the 50/200 cross	not enough price history yet — needs 200 trading sessions	n/a
Trend strength (14-day ADX)	a strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 26, with sellers in control	25.8

Momentum

14-day RSI	momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 38, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30)	38.2
Position in its 14-day range	it is trading in the lower half of its 14-day range ($22.13 to $25.36) — its "stochastic" reading is 33 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions.	32.8
Since the MACD crossed zero	MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in positive territory (momentum leaning bullish)	23 sessions

Range

Since a 20-day breakout	it made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago	2 sessions
Since a 55-day breakout	it made a new 55-day low about 2 trading days ago	2 sessions
All-time high	its highest closing price on record is $44.25 (set on 2026-05-11)	$44.25
Given back of the 52-week move	not available for this company yet	n/a
Nearest price level	not enough price history yet — needs 252 trading sessions	n/a
All-time low	its lowest closing price on record is $22.13 (set on 2026-10-15)	$22.13
Above the all-time low	it is 4.8% above its all-time low	+4.8%

Volatility

Band width vs its own 6 months	day-to-day price swings are narrower than usual versus its own recent 6-month history (tighter than about 84% of it)	16th percentile
Typical daily range	in a typical session it travels about $1.02 between its high and its low — about 4.4% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was	$1.02
Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ)	most of its recent trading has stayed between about $22.81 and $25.62 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles	$22.81 – $24.22 – $25.62
Typical daily range (% of price)	its price moves about 4.4% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price	4.4%

Volume

Volume vs its 30-day average	trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average	0.72×

Analyst

Change in the average price target	analysts have cut their average price target by 5.4% since the prior reading	-5.4%
Change in the consensus rating	the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading	unchanged

Candlestick patterns

Since a doji	2 sessions ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level	2 sessions ago
Since a bullish engulfing	5 sessions ago it opened below the previous session's close and finished above that session's open — a "bullish engulfing" pair, where one up day more than undid the down day before it	5 sessions ago

Price gaps

Gap at the open	it opened on 2026-10-20 0.9% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close	-0.9%
Gap filled	a 2.3% gap up opened on 2026-10-02 has been "filled" 12 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it	12 sessions ago

Price streaks

Closing streak	it closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run	1 session up

Relative strength

vs market, 1 month	over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 4.4 percentage points (the stock lost 3.4% while the market gained 1.0%)	-4.4%
vs market, 3 months	over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 36.6 percentage points (the stock lost 32.9% while the market gained 3.6%)	-36.6%
vs market, 6 months	over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 39.6 percentage points (the stock lost 31.1% while the market gained 8.5%)	-39.6%
vs market, 12 months	not available for this company yet	n/a

Signal agreement

Bullish technical signals	1 of the 7 technical signals we can compute for it is currently in a bullish state: MACD momentum is positive — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast	1 of 7
Bearish technical signals	4 of the 7 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a fresh 20-day low, a strong downtrend, with sellers in control, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast	4 of 7

Trend (Ichimoku cloud)

Vs the Ichimoku cloud	trading 14% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-14 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thick, spanning 18.3% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that has held for a while and takes effort to cross.	-13.6%

Volume-weighted price

Vs this year’s average price paid	the price is 26% below the average price paid since 2026-04-16, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $31.47 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 120 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.	-26.3%
Vs the average paid since it last reported	the price is 12% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-07-30 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $26.38 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 58 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.	-12.1%

Wave structure

Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five.

This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $25.55.

This is one of several labellings that fit the same swings, so treat it as a reading rather than the reading. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.

On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $14.73 and $18.86 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.

Alternate reading: The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C, which fails on a close above $25.55.

This reading has stood for 15 trading days, since 2026-09-30.

Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-20.

An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.

Screens: Trading below the 50-day moving average · Broke down to a new 20-day low · Analyst price target recently CUT · Under water since its last earnings report (below the anchored VWAP) · Trading below the Ichimoku cloud · Elliott wave 3 candidates | Learn: adx · rsi · breakout

Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-20. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.

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Analyst consensus

Consensus ratingStrong Buy (1.45 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 9 analysts
Mean price target$38.67 range $27.00 – $49.00; median $40.00

Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-17. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.

Analyst EPS estimate for MAIR

Consensus EPS estimate$0.2962 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-17
Estimate change, 30 days-$0.00078 (-0.3%) from $0.297, on 2026-09-12, 35-day window
Readings revised upward14% of 7 comparable readings

The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.

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Key risks (from latest filing)

["Risks related to the HVAC industry as disclosed in the company's Prospectus"]

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Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

2 open-market purchases and 0 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-16. The 6 days since 2026-10-16 have not been checked yet.

Last 90 days · read to 2026-10-162 buys ($220M) · 0 sells — 2 buying insiders
Last 180 days · read to 2026-10-162 buys ($220M) · 0 sells — 2 buying insiders

Activity heuristic: net buying (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)

Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-08-25. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-16; anything filed since is not yet included.

View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filings

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Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.

Institutional ownership (13F)

3 institutional 13F filers reported holding MAIR as of 2026-06-30 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).

Distinct 13F filers 3
Reported shares held 34,482,672
Reported value $1,344,824,191

Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Short interest (FINRA)

MAIR had 10,271,395 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-30 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).

Short interest as a percent of shares outstanding is not shown for MAIR because we do not hold a verified share count to divide it by. The reported figures above are unaffected.

Reported short interest (shares) 10,271,395
Prior settlement (shares) 7,879,219
Reported change 30.36%
Days to cover (reported) 4.14

Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-30 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Competitors & peers

AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.

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Frequently asked questions

What does Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) do?

What sector is Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) in?

Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) is classified in the Industrials sector. Its industry is HVAC equipment manufacturing. It trades on NYSE.

Who are Madison Air Solutions Corp's (MAIR) competitors?

Notable peers of Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) include Carrier Global, Trane Technologies, Johnson Controls, Lennox International and Watsco. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.

Is Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) overbought or oversold right now?

Madison Air Solutions Corp (MAIR) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 38, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-10-20). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.

Where does stocks-llm's data on MAIR come from?

Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-03; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.

Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.

Last updated 2026-10-21.

Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.