Alaska Air Group (ALK)
Industrials · airlines · NYSE
A major US airline holding company operating a combined network through Alaska, Hawaiian, and Horizon airlines.
What Alaska Air Group does
Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company that operates through its subsidiaries, Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Horizon Air. The company provides passenger and cargo air transportation services across its networks, supported by loyalty program revenue and regional operations.
Themes: aviation, travel and leisure, airline consolidation, loyalty programs
Fundamentals
- Price$40.41 as of 2026-08-21 close
- Market cap$4.5B as of 2026-08-21
- 1-year return-26.4% 2025-08-21 close $54.92 → 2026-08-21 close $40.41
- P/E53.38 as of 2026-08-24
- Net margin-1.2% as of 2026-08-24
- Gross margin+51.0% as of 2026-08-24
- ROE-4.5% as of 2026-08-24
- Debt / equity1.70 as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue growth (YoY)+9.8% as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue CAGR (3y)+13.9% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.33 as of 2026-08-24
- Last reported earnings2026-07-21 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
Dividend: 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC XBRL).
How ALK compares in its sector
- price-to-earnings ratiotop 25% 357 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- net profit marginbottom 25% 457 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- operating marginbottom 25% 457 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- gross margintop 25% 455 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- return on equitybottom 25% 460 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- 3-year revenue CAGRtop 25% 426 covered Industrials peers
Position among covered Industrials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
Top 10 scores & list membership
ALK is not currently in any published Top 10 list. Its scores are below.
Long-term score
29.9 #949 of 987 scored · #190 of 197 in Industrials
Growth 72nd (3-year revenue CAGR 13.9%, revenue growth year over year 9.8%) and valuation 45th (price to book 1.4, price to earnings 53.4); weakest is profitability (5th, operating margin -1.5%, return on equity -4.5%).
Short-term score
34.1 #1578 of 1,704 scored · #256 of 283 in Industrials
Volume and participation 64th: trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average; momentum 38th: near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold); weakest is trend 16th: the price is 13% below the average price paid over the period covered, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water.
Scores as of 21 Aug 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 2.
Dividend coverage
Not assessed — last reported dividend predates the accounts. The most recent fiscal year in which ALK reported a dividend payment is FY2020, while its reported financial statements run through FY2025. Coverage is therefore not assessed for the latest year — an FY2020 ratio would not describe ALK today.
Coverage is derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures, comparing dividends paid against net income and free cash flow for the SAME fiscal year. It is not shown here because the latest fiscal year with a reported dividend payment (FY2020) is older than the latest year of reported financial statements (FY2025), so any ratio would describe an out-of-date year. Informational only — not financial advice.
How Alaska Air Group looks technically
Alaska Air Group (ALK) is trading 11.8% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 19 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal. There is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 18, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 32, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 8 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative). It made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago. It is 38.7% below its highest point of the past year.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 11.8% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -11.8% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $47.82 | $47.82 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $45.81 | $45.81 |
| Swing structure | its recent peaks and dips disagree — one of them is rising while the other is not, so there is no clean up or down pattern in the swings | mixed — one of the two is not confirming |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 16 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 16 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a completed three-part upward correction — a pullback in the A-B-C shape Elliott-wave chartists use; the labelling fails if price closes above 53.58. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible three-wave upward correction, complete (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 19 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal | 19 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | there is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 18, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend | 18.3 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 32, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 32.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading right at the bottom of its 14-day range ($39.87 to $53.58) — its "stochastic" reading is 4 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions. | 3.9 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 8 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative) | 8 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $65.88 | $65.88 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 38.7% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -38.7% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 22.3% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +22.3% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 38.7% below its highest point of the past year | 38.7% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago | 2 sessions |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day low about 2 trading days ago | 2 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $101.43 (set on 2017-03-01) | $101.43 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($34.19 to $63.86), and it has recovered roughly a quarter of its fall from last year’s high — 21% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $52.53 to $53.48. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 21.0% |
| From the all-time high | it is 60.2% below its all-time high | -60.2% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 1.2% above a support level at $39.93 — a price it turned at three times since 2025-04-08, most recently on 2025-11-04. Since 2024-08-21 it has 2 such levels below the current price and 12 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | -1.2% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $2.52 (set on 2008-07-15) | $2.52 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 1500.4% above its all-time low | +1,500% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are wider than usual versus its own recent 6-month history (wider than about 75% of it) | 75th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $1.98 between its high and its low — about 4.9% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $1.98 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $39.78 and $53.91 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $39.78 – $46.84 – $53.91 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 4.9% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 4.9% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 2.7 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (11.8% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 2.7 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 0.96× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading | unchanged |
Candlestick patterns
1
| Since a bearish engulfing | 7 sessions ago it opened above the previous session's close and finished below that session's open — a "bearish engulfing" pair, where one down day more than undid the up day before it | 7 sessions ago |
|---|
Price gaps
2
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-08-21 1.8% above the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close | +1.8% |
|---|---|---|
| Gap filled | a 2.8% gap up opened on 2026-08-04 has been "filled" 10 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it took 3 sessions to close | 10 sessions ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run | 1 session up |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 13.4 percentage points (the stock lost 11.1% while the market gained 2.3%) | -13.4% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 4.8 percentage points (the stock lost 1.7% while the market gained 3.1%) | -4.8% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 34.2 percentage points (the stock lost 23.1% while the market gained 11.1%) | -34.2% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 46.9 percentage points (the stock lost 26.4% while the market gained 20.5%) | -46.9% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: a "golden cross" — its 50-day average is above its 200-day, near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 2 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 5 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, MACD momentum is negative, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 5 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 10% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-16 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thick, spanning 8.7% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that has held for a while and takes effort to cross. | -10.4% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 10% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $45.03 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 157 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -10.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 13% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-07-21 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $46.20 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 24 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -12.5% |
Price levels it has turned at before
ALK last closed at $40.41 on 2026-08-21. Since 2024-08-21 it has turned at 2 prices below its last close and 12 above; the 2 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $39.93 | Support | 1.2% below the last close | turned there three times · 2025-04-08 to 2025-11-04 |
| $41.68 | Resistance | 3.1% above the last close | turned there four times · 2024-10-04 to 2026-07-22 |
| $36.54 | Support | 9.6% below the last close | turned there twice · 2026-03-19 to 2026-05-04 |
| $45.52 | Resistance | 12.7% above the last close | turned there twice · 2024-09-30 to 2025-06-23 |
| $46.84 | Resistance | 15.9% above the last close | turned there three times · 2024-10-16 to 2026-04-17 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a three-part upward correction — the A-B-C shape chartists use for a pullback — now complete.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $53.58.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones. It was chosen from 3 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
This labelling was already in place when we began recording count changes on 2026-08-13, so how long it has stood is not something we can say yet.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-21.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Recent golden cross (50-day crossed above 200-day) · Pulled back from the 12-month high · Broke down to a new 20-day low · trendless / choppy (low ADX) · lagging the market | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · macd · breakout · fifty two week high low
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-21. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingStrong Buy (1.50 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 16 analysts
- Mean price target$62.59 range $37.00 – $92.00; median $61.25
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-24. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for ALK
- Consensus EPS estimate$0.5614 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-24
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Uncertainties regarding the successful integration of Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. and realization of anticipated synergies.","Exposure to volatile operating costs, particularly aircraft fuel.","Intense competition and potential for labor cost/relations issues affecting operations."]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of ALK's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 against the prior one filed 2025-11-06.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Added:
- Added reference to Form 10-K for year ended December 31, 2025 (newer filing) vs. December 31, 2024 (older filing)
- Added 'First Quarter Review' section highlighting Q1 2026 events including fuel price increases, civil unrest in Puerto Vallarta, rainstorms in Hawai'i, Bank of America partnership expansion, Amazon cargo agreement, single passenger service system implementation in April 2026, and Hawaiian joining oneworld alliance
- Added detailed comparison of three months ended March 31, 2026 vs. March 31, 2025 with operating statistics
- Added operating revenue breakdown for Q1 2026 showing passenger revenue ($2,920M), loyalty program revenue ($227M), and cargo/other revenue ($153M)
- Added geographic revenue analysis by Domestic, Latin America, and Pacific regions for Q1 2026
- Added fuel cost detail showing crude oil ($469M), refining margins ($255M), and other ($72M) for Q1 2026
- Added statement that 'We expect that fuel costs will remain elevated for some time'
- Added operating fleet count of 413 aircraft and FTE count of 31,465 for Q1 2026
- Removed:
- Removed 'Third Quarter Review' section (replaced with 'First Quarter Review')
- Removed reference to Hawaiian Holdings acquisition on September 18, 2024 and comparability discussion
- Removed pro forma income statement discussion and reference to Form 8-K filed January 22, 2025
- Removed cybersecurity incident disclosure dated June 23, 2025
- Removed discussion of July 20, 2025 IT outage affecting approximately 200 flights and $20 million negative impact
- Removed labor update section discussing McGee Air Services, Horizon negotiations, and joint collective bargaining agreements
- Removed August 2025 Atmos Rewards program launch details and Bank of America credit card agreement amendments
- Removed subsequent events section including October 23, 2025 IT outage (500 canceled flights), October 29, 2025 Microsoft Azure outage, and October 29, 2025 single operating certificate
- Removed fourth quarter outlook discussing low single-digit unit revenue and unit cost increases with 2-3% capacity growth
- Reworded:
- Changed 'Third Quarter Review' to 'First Quarter Review'
- Changed quarter references from 'third quarter of 2025' to 'first quarter of 2026'
- Changed comparison year from 'third quarter of 2024' to 'first quarter of 2025'
- Changed loss before tax from '$111 million' (Q3 2025) to '$317 million' (Q1 2026) with comparison to '$328 million' (Q3 2024) vs. '$233 million' (Q1 2025)
- Changed MD&A section from 'three and nine months ended September 30, 2025' to 'three months ended March 31, 2026'
- Removed mention of Hawaiian acquisition comparability issues (acquisition occurred September 2024, now integrated throughout 2025)
- Notes:
- The older filing's MD&A text appears truncated at 'The tabl' at the end, limiting full comparison of non-fuel expenses section
- The two filings cover different fiscal periods (Q1 2026 vs. Q3 2025) and different comparison years (Q1 2025 vs. Q3 2024/pro forma 2024), making some structural changes period-driven rather than material updates
Risk Factors
The two filings could not be meaningfully compared for this section.
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
1 open-market purchase and 1 open-market sale by insiders in the last 90 days.
- Last 30 days1 buy ($1M) · 1 sell ($263256) — 1 buying, 1 selling insiders
- Last 90 days1 buy ($1M) · 1 sell ($263256) — 1 buying, 1 selling insiders
- Last 180 days1 buy ($1M) · 1 sell ($263256) — 1 buying, 1 selling insiders
Activity heuristic: mixed (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-08-20. As of 2026-08-24.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about ALK's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Congressional trading disclosures
U.S. House members publicly disclose their own, their spouse's, and dependent children's stock transactions under the STOCK Act. We hold 4 matched disclosures for ALK from U.S. House Clerk Periodic Transaction Report filings.
Congressional trading disclosures →Institutional ownership (13F)
5 institutional 13F filers reported holding ALK as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 5
- Reported shares held 20,790,026
- Reported value $764,657,190
reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 2 increased, 3 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Short interest (FINRA)
ALK had 10,738,019 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
ALK had 9.62% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 3.17 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 10,738,019
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 9.62%
- Prior settlement (shares) 10,966,796
- Reported change -2.09%
- Days to cover (reported) 3.17
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Delta Air Lines (DAL)
- United Airlines (UAL)
- American Airlines (AAL)
- Southwest Airlines (LUV)
- JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
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Frequently asked questions
What does Alaska Air Group (ALK) do?
Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company that operates through its subsidiaries, Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Horizon Air. The company provides passenger and cargo air transportation services across its networks, supported by loyalty program revenue and regional operations.
What sector is Alaska Air Group (ALK) in?
Alaska Air Group (ALK) is classified in the Industrials sector. Its industry is airlines. It trades on NYSE.
Who are Alaska Air Group's (ALK) competitors?
Notable peers of Alaska Air Group (ALK) include Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines and JetBlue Airways. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Has there been recent Congressional stock trading in ALK?
Yes — we hold 4 matched STOCK Act disclosures for ALK from U.S. House Clerk Periodic Transaction Report filings. These are legally-required disclosures (often filed 30–45 days after the trade), may belong to a U.S. House member, their spouse, or a dependent child, and are not an indicator of company performance or investment advice.
Is Alaska Air Group (ALK) overbought or oversold right now?
Alaska Air Group (ALK) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 32, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-21). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on ALK come from?
Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-24; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-24. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-08-21.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.