GEVO INC (GEVO)
Energy · Sustainable fuels and low-carbon energy production · NASDAQ
Gevo produces sustainable aviation fuel, renewable natural gas, and other low-carbon fuels through proprietary Alcohol-to-Jet technology, targeting commercial-scale production to support energy transition and decarbonization.
What GEVO INC does
Gevo Inc. is a company focused on the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable natural gas (RNG), ethanol, and other low-carbon fuels through proprietary technology and industrial operations. The company operates production facilities including GevoND and GevoRNG, and is developing Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ) projects for commercial-scale production. Gevo generates revenue primarily from the sale of ethanol, RNG, and related environmental attributes at its existing facilities, while investing heavily in expanding its production capabilities and commercializing next-generation fuel products.
Themes: Sustainable aviation fuel, Renewable fuels, Low-carbon energy, Decarbonization, Energy transition
Fundamentals
- Price$1.53 as of 2026-08-24 close
- Market cap$378M as of 2026-08-24
- 1-year return-11.6% 2025-08-22 close $1.73 → 2026-08-24 close $1.53
- P/En/a negative earnings
- Net margin-119.9% as of 2026-08-25
- Gross margin+47.4% as of 2026-08-25
- ROE-51.4% as of 2026-08-25
- Debt / equity0.61 as of 2026-08-25
- Revenue growth (YoY)+121.4% as of 2026-08-25
- Revenue CAGR (3y)+415.1% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.10 as of 2026-08-25
- Last reported earnings2026-08-06 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
How GEVO compares in its sector
- net profit marginbottom 10% 149 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-25
- operating marginbottom 10% 149 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-25
- gross marginmiddle range 142 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-25
- return on equitybottom 10% 152 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-25
- 3-year revenue CAGRtop 10% 138 covered Energy peers
- free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)bottom 25% 95 covered Energy peers, as of FY2025
Position among covered Energy companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
How GEVO INC looks technically
GEVO INC (GEVO) is trading 18.9% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 63 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. There is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 12, below the 25 that marks a real trend). Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 48, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 3 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative). It made a new 20-day high about 23 trading days ago. It is 48.5% below its highest point of the past year. Trading volume is unusually light — only about 46% of its 30-day average.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 18.9% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -18.9% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $1.53 | $1.53 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $1.89 | $1.89 |
| Swing structure | its recent peaks and dips disagree — one of them is rising while the other is not, so there is no clean up or down pattern in the swings | mixed — one of the two is not confirming |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 10 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 10 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a completed three-part upward correction — a pullback in the A-B-C shape Elliott-wave chartists use; the labelling fails if price closes above 1.7. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible three-wave upward correction, complete (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 63 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal | 63 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | there is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 12, below the 25 that marks a real trend) | 11.6 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 48, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 47.8 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading in the lower half of its 14-day range ($1.40 to $1.70) — its "stochastic" reading is 43 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions. | 43.3 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 3 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative) | 3 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $2.97 | $2.97 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 48.5% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -48.5% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 11.7% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +11.7% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 48.5% below its highest point of the past year | 48.5% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it made a new 20-day high about 23 trading days ago | 23 sessions |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day low about 50 trading days ago | 50 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $158160.00 (set on 2011-04-07) | $158160.00 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($1.40 to $2.78), and it has recovered only a small part of its fall from last year’s high — 9% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $2.25 to $2.30. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 9.4% |
| From the all-time high | it is 100.0% below its all-time high | -100.0% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 2.6% below a resistance level at $1.57 — a price it turned at twice since 2025-09-05, most recently on 2026-06-18. Since 2024-08-26 it has 2 such levels below the current price and 9 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | +2.6% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $0.46 (set on 2020-07-01) | $0.46 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 232.6% above its all-time low | +232.6% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are narrower than usual versus its own recent 6-month history (tighter than about 87% of it) | 13th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.0897 between its high and its low — about 5.9% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.0897 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $1.42 and $1.67 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $1.42 – $1.54 – $1.67 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 5.9% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 5.9% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 4.0 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (18.9% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 4.0 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is unusually light — only about 46% of its 30-day average | 0.46× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts have raised their average price target by 0.5% since the prior reading | +0.5% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading | unchanged |
Candlestick patterns
2
| Since a doji | today it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | today |
|---|---|---|
| Since a bearish engulfing | 8 sessions ago it opened above the previous session's close and finished below that session's open — a "bearish engulfing" pair, where one down day more than undid the up day before it | 8 sessions ago |
Price gaps
3
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-08-24 0.7% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close | -0.7% |
|---|---|---|
| Open gap | it gapped 12.2% above the previous close 11 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 1.44 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed | +12.2% |
| Gap filled | a 2.6% gap up opened on 2026-08-05 has been "filled" 13 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it | 13 sessions ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it closed lower in its latest session, after a session that did not close lower — a single down day rather than a run | 1 session down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 9.5 percentage points (the stock lost 6.1% while the market gained 3.3%) | -9.5% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 16.0 percentage points (the stock lost 13.6% while the market gained 2.4%) | -15.9% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 27.5 percentage points (the stock lost 16.4% while the market gained 11.1%) | -27.5% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 29.9 percentage points (the stock lost 11.6% while the market gained 18.3%) | -29.9% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 0 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 0 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 5 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, MACD momentum is negative, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 5 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 2.4% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-17 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thick, spanning 13.2% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that has held for a while and takes effort to cross. | -2.4% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 18% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $1.88 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 161 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -18.4% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 2% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-06 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $1.56 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 13 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -1.8% |
Price levels it has turned at before
GEVO last closed at $1.53 on 2026-08-24. Since 2024-08-26 it has turned at 2 prices below its last close and 9 above; the 2 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.57 | Resistance | 2.6% above the last close | turned there twice · 2025-09-05 to 2026-06-18 |
| $1.61 | Resistance | 5.5% above the last close | turned there five times · 2025-02-03 to 2026-05-21 |
| $1.42 | Support | 7.0% below the last close | turned there four times · 2024-12-04 to 2026-07-29 |
| $1.39 | Support | 9.4% below the last close | turned there three times · 2025-07-16 to 2026-08-06 |
| $1.71 | Resistance | 11.8% above the last close | turned there twice · 2026-02-05 to 2026-08-14 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a three-part upward correction — the A-B-C shape chartists use for a pullback — now complete.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $1.70.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones. It was chosen from 3 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
This labelling was already in place when we began recording count changes on 2026-08-13, so how long it has stood is not something we can say yet.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-24.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Pulled back from the 12-month high · MACD just crossed bearish (12/26/9) · trendless / choppy (low ADX) · lagging the market · Printed a doji candle | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · macd · breakout · fifty two week high low · volume and relative volume
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-24. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingBuy (2.00 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 4 analysts
- Mean price target$5.41 range $1.90 – $14.00; median $2.88
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-21. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for GEVO
- Consensus EPS estimate$0.05 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-21
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Significant ongoing losses with accumulated deficit of $834.2 million as of December 31, 2025; company expects to continue incurring losses and may never achieve profitability","Capital-intensive business requiring substantial additional financing for ATJ projects and expansion; failure to secure needed capital on acceptable terms could force delays or termination of development efforts","Proposed growth projects and commercial production facilities may not be completed, perform as expected, or achieve profitability; project development consumes significant management resources"]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of GEVO's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 against the prior one filed 2025-11-10.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Added:
- Added in 2026 filing: 'Gevo, Inc. (Nasdaq: GEVO), a Delaware corporation founded in 2005, is a growth-oriented company' (company founding date and exchange listing added)
- Added in 2026 filing: reference to 'our 2025 Annual Report' (updated annual report year from 2024 to 2025)
- Added in 2026 filing: 'generate carbon abatement value through our production processes, plant design, and operating systems. This carbon abatement value may be monetized through mechanisms such as direct sales of certified carbon credits' (explicit mention of 'direct sales of certified carbon credits' as monetization mechanism)
- Added in 2026 filing: 'Gevo owns certain operating assets that generate cash flow and expects growth by developing markets, pursuing project development, investing in capital assets, and licensing certain technologies'
- Added in 2026 filing: 'Gevo is developing a business system that not only benefits Gevo but is also expected to be attractive to other companies seeking to produce SAF. Gevo has the plant designs and technologies, as well as the carbon accounting, carbon tax credit marketing, carbon sales, and fuel sales capabilities that can benefit other companies looking to develop and license Gevo's ATJ platform under a franchise model'
- Removed:
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'or net zero' from phrase 'low-carbon or net zero carbon renewable fuels' (now reads 'low-carbon renewable fuels')
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'fuel consumption' changed to just reference to 'jet fuel demand'; reference to 'Alcohol-to-Jet Projects' (capitalized plural removed)
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'our expectations regarding the anticipated benefits of our acquisition of the majority of the assets of Red Trail Energy, LLC (Red Trail Energy) and the impact thereof on our financial results and operations'
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'our ability to successfully operate our renewable natural gas (RNG) facilities in Iowa and our expectations regarding levels of RNG production'
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'our expectations regarding reimbursement of costs incurred under the USDA Grant (defined below)'
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'the expected sale of Agri-Energy, LLC and the timing thereof'
- Removed from 2026 filing: phrase 'Gevo is primarily a project development, investment, and technology company, which also holds certain operating assets with the intent of generating cash flow'
- Removed from 2026 filing: reference to 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)' tax credits
- Removed from 2026 filing: 'Carbon abatement value can be valorized via' replaced with 'This carbon abatement value may be monetized through mechanisms such as'
- Removed from 2026 filing: detailed discussion of North Dakota facility operations including 'which specializes in the production of ethanol and feed co-products from corn and sequestering carbon through its carbon capture and sequestration asset' and the paragraph explaining corn processing for jet fuel production
- Reworded:
- Changed in 2026 filing: 'Section 21-E' changed to 'Section 21E' (removed hyphen in citation)
- Changed in 2026 filing: 'jet fuel' changed to 'SAF' (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) as primary product description in some contexts
- Changed in 2026 filing: 'synthetic aviation fuel' changed to 'synthetic (or sustainable) aviation fuel' in 2026 version (added sustainability descriptor)
- Changed in 2026 filing: 'feed and oil' added to product list; 'and feed chain' changed to 'and feed chain' (consistent with 'food and feed chain')
- Changed in 2026 filing: Removed detailed explanation of GevoND facility operations and consolidated North Dakota operations description
- Changed in 2026 filing: Company description simplified from detailed operational explanation to focus on platform and licensing strategy
- Notes:
- The newer filing appears truncated mid-sentence at the end of the provided text, limiting full assessment of subsequent changes
- Some changes reflect updated time period context (2025 Annual Report vs 2024 Annual Report, different quarter dates)
- Substantive changes relate to removal of specific facility operations discussion and addition of franchise/licensing business model emphasis
Risk Factors
The two filings could not be meaningfully compared for this section.
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
0 open-market purchases and 11 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days.
- Last 30 days0 buys · 4 sells ($465773) — 4 selling insiders
- Last 90 days0 buys · 11 sells ($916642) — 7 selling insiders
- Last 180 days0 buys · 18 sells ($2M) — 7 selling insiders
Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-08-06. As of 2026-08-25.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about GEVO's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
5 institutional 13F filers reported holding GEVO as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 5
- Reported shares held 30,944,960
- Reported value $84,479,742
reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 3 increased, 2 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Short interest (FINRA)
GEVO had 28,045,731 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
GEVO had 11.3% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 7.1 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 28,045,731
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 11.3%
- Prior settlement (shares) 26,696,970
- Reported change 5.05%
- Days to cover (reported) 7.1
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Neste (renewable fuels)
- World Energy (sustainable aviation fuel)
- Fulcrum BioEnergy (sustainable fuels)
- Southwest Airlines (commercial SAF demand)
- United Airlines (commercial SAF demand)
- Renewable Energy Group (renewable fuels)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
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Frequently asked questions
What does GEVO INC (GEVO) do?
Gevo Inc. is a company focused on the production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable natural gas (RNG), ethanol, and other low-carbon fuels through proprietary technology and industrial operations. The company operates production facilities including GevoND and GevoRNG, and is developing Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ) projects for commercial-scale production.
What sector is GEVO INC (GEVO) in?
GEVO INC (GEVO) is classified in the Energy sector. Its industry is Sustainable fuels and low-carbon energy production. It trades on NASDAQ.
Who are GEVO INC's (GEVO) competitors?
Notable peers of GEVO INC (GEVO) include Neste (renewable fuels), World Energy (sustainable aviation fuel), Fulcrum BioEnergy (sustainable fuels), Southwest Airlines (commercial SAF demand) and United Airlines (commercial SAF demand). This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is GEVO INC (GEVO) overbought or oversold right now?
GEVO INC (GEVO) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 48, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-24). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on GEVO come from?
Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-25; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-25. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-08-24.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.