GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE)
Energy · Ethanol and biofuel production · NASDAQ
Green Plains is a leading low-carbon biorefining company transforming corn into high-value ethanol, sustainable feed ingredients, and carbon-reduced fuel solutions.
What GREEN PLAINS INC does
Green Plains Inc. is an ethanol producer and renewable fuel company that operates multiple production facilities producing ethanol, co-products, and other renewable fuels. The company also produces feed ingredients, manages commodity trading operations, and develops advanced biofuel technologies including sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) capabilities. Through its Fluid Quip Technologies subsidiary, Green Plains offers process technologies like Maximized Stillage Co-products (MSC™) and other innovations for the biofuels and industrial sectors.
Themes: Ethanol production and biofuels, Sustainable aviation fuel / advanced biofuels, Renewable fuels / low carbon intensity fuels, Carbon capture and storage, Commodity trading and grain operations, Production tax credits and incentives
Fundamentals
- Price$16.25 as of 2026-08-21 close
- Market cap$1.1B as of 2026-08-21
- 1-year return+99.4% 2025-08-21 close $8.15 → 2026-08-21 close $16.25
- P/E8.55 as of 2026-08-24
- Net margin+6.8% as of 2026-08-24
- Gross margin+16.0% as of 2026-08-24
- ROE+15.5% as of 2026-08-24
- Debt / equity0.56 as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue growth (YoY)-23.7% as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue CAGR (3y)-17.0% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.20 as of 2026-08-24
- Last reported earnings2026-08-06 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
Dividend: yield +0.2%; 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC XBRL).
How GPRE compares in its sector
- price-to-earnings ratiobottom 25% 118 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- net profit marginmiddle range 149 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- operating marginmiddle range 149 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- gross marginbottom 25% 142 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- return on equitymiddle range 152 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- 3-year revenue CAGRbottom 10% 138 covered Energy peers
- indicated dividend yieldbottom 10% 98 covered Energy peers, as of 2026-08-24
- free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)middle range 95 covered Energy peers, as of FY2025
Position among covered Energy companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
Dividend coverage (FY2025)
Covered by reported results. In FY2025, GPRE's dividend was covered by reported results (free-cash-flow payout 1%). This describes past coverage, not a forecast.
- Earnings payoutnot assessable earnings were not positive that year
- Free-cash-flow payout1% dividends / (operating cash flow − capex)
Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.
How GREEN PLAINS INC looks technically
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is trading 15.9% above its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a longer-term uptrend. Its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 250 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal. There is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 14, below the 25 that marks a real trend). Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 51, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bullish about 2 trading days ago (its momentum flipped positive). It made a new 20-day low about 11 trading days ago. It is 17.3% below its highest point of the past year.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 15.9% above its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a longer-term uptrend | +15.9% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $16.03 | $16.03 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $14.02 | $14.02 |
| Swing structure | each recent peak has been higher than the one before it and each dip has been shallower — the pattern chart-watchers call an uptrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes next | higher highs and higher lows |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing low 14 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 14 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a five-part upward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five; the labelling fails if price closes below 14.41. It is one of several labellings that fit, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C. | possible upward five-wave sequence, in wave 3 (one of several readings) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 250 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal | 250 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | there is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 14, below the 25 that marks a real trend) | 13.9 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 51, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 51.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading in the upper half of its 14-day range ($14.41 to $17.27) — its "stochastic" reading is 64 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions. | 64.3 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bullish about 2 trading days ago (its momentum flipped positive) | 2 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $19.64 | $19.64 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 17.3% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -17.3% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 115.8% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +115.8% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 17.3% below its highest point of the past year | 17.3% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it made a new 20-day low about 11 trading days ago | 11 sessions |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day high about 26 trading days ago | 26 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $63.50 (set on 2006-03-15) | $63.50 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($7.62 to $19.23), and it has given back roughly a quarter of its rise from last year’s low — 26% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $11.68 to $12.05. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 25.7% |
| From the all-time high | it is 74.4% below its all-time high | -74.4% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 2.7% below a resistance level at $16.68 — a price it turned at twice since 2026-03-18, most recently on 2026-06-02. Since 2024-08-21 it has 12 such levels below the current price and 1 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | +2.7% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $1.12 (set on 2009-03-02) | $1.12 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 1350.9% above its all-time low | +1,351% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are about average versus its own recent 6-month history | 34th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.7474 between its high and its low — about 4.6% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.7474 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $14.68 and $17.41 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $14.68 – $16.05 – $17.41 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 4.6% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 4.6% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 3.0 daily ranges above its 200-day average price (15.9% above it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 3.0 daily ranges above its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 0.83× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading | unchanged |
Candlestick patterns
2
| Since a doji | today it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | today |
|---|---|---|
| Since a bearish engulfing | 7 sessions ago it opened above the previous session's close and finished below that session's open — a "bearish engulfing" pair, where one down day more than undid the up day before it | 7 sessions ago |
Price gaps
2
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-08-21 1.4% above the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close | +1.4% |
|---|---|---|
| Gap filled | a 2.9% gap down opened on 2026-08-06 has been "filled" 1 session ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it took 10 sessions to close | 1 session ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run | 1 session up |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 10.4 percentage points (the stock lost 8.0% while the market gained 2.3%) | -10.4% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock beat the market by 4.7 percentage points (the stock gained 7.8% while the market gained 3.1%) | +4.7% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock beat the market by 4.8 percentage points (the stock gained 15.9% while the market gained 11.1%) | +4.8% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock beat the market by 78.9 percentage points (the stock gained 99.4% while the market gained 20.5%) | +78.9% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 4 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: a "golden cross" — its 50-day average is above its 200-day, trading above its 200-day average, MACD momentum is positive, outperforming the market over 6 months — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 4 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 0 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 0 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading inside the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-16 and projected forward over today's price, the zone traders read as unresolved — neither side has established a trend, and the band is where that gets settled. The band itself is thin, spanning 1.9% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that gives way easily. | 0.0% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 7% above the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is showing a gain. That average is $15.20 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 157 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | +6.9% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 5% above the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-06 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is showing a gain. That average is $15.53 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 12 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | +4.7% |
Price levels it has turned at before
GPRE last closed at $16.25 on 2026-08-21. Since 2024-08-21 it has turned at 12 prices below its last close and 1 above; the 3 nearest below and the nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $16.68 | Resistance | 2.7% above the last close | turned there twice · 2026-03-18 to 2026-06-02 |
| $14.55 | Support | 10.5% below the last close | turned there three times · 2024-09-05 to 2026-08-07 |
| $13.98 | Support | 14.0% below the last close | turned there five times · 2024-09-19 to 2026-06-24 |
| $12.29 | Support | 24.4% below the last close | turned there twice · 2025-10-15 to 2026-01-22 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a five-part upward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes below $14.41.
This is one of several labellings that fit the same swings, so treat it as a reading rather than the reading. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $20.04 and $23.52 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.
Alternate reading: The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C, which fails on a close below $14.41.
This reading has stood for 6 trading days, since 2026-08-14.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-21.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading above the 200-day moving average · MACD just crossed bullish (12/26/9) · trendless / choppy (low ADX) · Printed a doji candle · Trading inside the Ichimoku cloud · Elliott wave 3 candidates | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · macd · breakout · fifty two week high low
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-21. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingBuy (2.14 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 7 analysts
- Mean price target$17.86 range $10.00 – $20.00; median $20.00
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-21. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for GPRE
- Consensus EPS estimate$0.5625 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-21
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Revenue declined 21.4% year-over-year, reflecting exposure to commodity prices and ethanol market volatility; future operating results depend on fluctuations in feedstock costs, fuel prices, and policy support for renewable fuels","Advanced technology commercialization risk: SAF, ATJ, and CCS technologies are still in development/deployment phases and may not generate anticipated results or economic returns; capital-intensive projects face commercialization and scaling challenges","Regulatory and policy dependence: operations rely heavily on government incentives (RFS, LCFS, IRA tax credits, RINs/RECs), and changes to renewable fuel mandates, carbon intensity standards, or tax credit eligibility could materially impact profitability"]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of GPRE's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 against the prior one filed 2025-11-05.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Reworded:
- Reference year in Form 10-K changed from 'December 31, 2024' (filed 2025-11-05) to 'December 31, 2025' (filed 2026-05-07)
- Notes:
- Both text excerpts are truncated at 'Part I,' and do not include complete sections, limiting full comparison
Risk Factors
- Added:
- Added 'CCS' (Carbon capture and storage) to Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Added 'REC' (Renewable energy certificate) to Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Item 1A Risk Factors page number changed from 61 to 45 in newer filing
- Item 2 page number changed from 63 to 45 in newer filing
- Item 3 page number changed from 64 to 45 in newer filing
- Item 4 page number changed from 64 to 45 in newer filing
- Item 5 page number changed from 64 to 45 in newer filing
- Item 6 page number changed from 64 to 45 in newer filing
- Removed:
- Removed 'Green Plains Partners; the partnership Green Plains Partners LP' from defined terms in newer filing
- Removed 'ATJ Alcohol-to-Jet' from Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Removed 'CST™ Clean Sugar Technology™ developed by Fluid Quip Technologies, LLC' from Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Removed 'DOE Department of Energy' from Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Removed 'GP Turnkey Tharaldson GP Turnkey Tharaldson LLC' from Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Removed 'Merger' definition (related to GPLP Merger Sub LLC transaction) from Industry and Other Defined Terms in newer filing
- Removed 'Merger Agreement' definition in newer filing
- Removed 'RFS Renewable Fuels Standard' definition line break position change in newer filing
- Notes:
- The two filings present different reporting periods (Q1 2026 vs Q3 2025) with different balance sheet and income statement dates, making direct financial comparison not assessable as a document change
- Defined terms section changes reflect substantive removals of partnership-related definitions and alternative fuel technology definitions, possibly due to changes in business structure or focus
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
No open-market insider purchases or sales are on record for GPRE — recent Form 4 activity was compensation-related (awards, option exercises, or tax withholding), not open-market buying or selling.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsOnly open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
5 institutional 13F filers reported holding GPRE as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 5
- Reported shares held 12,748,880
- Reported value $209,719,079
reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 3 increased, 2 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Short interest (FINRA)
GPRE had 13,000,266 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
GPRE had 18.5% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 8.49 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 13,000,266
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 18.5%
- Prior settlement (shares) 13,317,802
- Reported change -2.38%
- Days to cover (reported) 8.49
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
- Valero Energy (VLO)
- Renewable Energy Group (REGI)
- Andersons (ANDE)
- Alto Ingredients (ALTO)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
Compare GPRE vs…
Frequently asked questions
What does GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) do?
Green Plains Inc. is an ethanol producer and renewable fuel company that operates multiple production facilities producing ethanol, co-products, and other renewable fuels. The company also produces feed ingredients, manages commodity trading operations, and develops advanced biofuel technologies including sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) capabilities.
What sector is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) in?
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is classified in the Energy sector. Its industry is Ethanol and biofuel production. It trades on NASDAQ.
Does GPRE pay a dividend?
Yes — GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 0.22% and 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC EDGAR XBRL) (market data, as of 2026-08-24). Informational only — not financial advice.
Who are GREEN PLAINS INC's (GPRE) competitors?
Notable peers of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) include Archer-Daniels-Midland, Valero Energy, Renewable Energy Group, Andersons and Alto Ingredients. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) overbought or oversold right now?
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 51, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-21). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on GPRE come from?
Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-24; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-24. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-08-21.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.