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WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC)

Materials · Metallurgical Coal Mining · NYSE

A low-cost producer of premium hard coking coal essential for global steel manufacturing.

What WARRIOR MET COAL INC does

Warrior Met Coal is a US-based producer of premium hard coking coal (HCC), which is primarily used as a critical ingredient in the steelmaking process. The company operates highly productive, low-cost longwall mining operations in the Blue Creek coal seam in Alabama. Its products are sold globally, primarily to steel producers through long-term supply contracts.

Themes: Steel production supply chain, Industrial commodities, Global export markets

Fundamentals

  • Price$106.73 as of 2026-08-21 close
  • Market cap$5.6B as of 2026-08-21
  • 1-year return+86.6% 2025-08-21 close $57.21 → 2026-08-21 close $106.73
  • P/E22.97 as of 2026-08-24
  • Net margin+13.1% as of 2026-08-24
  • Gross margin+30.5% as of 2026-08-24
  • ROE+10.0% as of 2026-08-24
  • Debt / equity0.12 as of 2026-08-24
  • Revenue growth (YoY)+37.5% as of 2026-08-24
  • Beta0.71 as of 2026-08-24
  • Last reported earnings2026-08-05 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)

Dividend: yield +0.5%; 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC XBRL).

Ask why HCC looks like this →

How HCC compares in its sector

  • price-to-earnings ratiomiddle range 94 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • net profit margintop 25% 142 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • operating margintop 25% 142 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • gross marginmiddle range 141 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • return on equitymiddle range 151 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • indicated dividend yieldbottom 10% 95 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-08-24

Position among covered Materials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.

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Top 10 scores & list membership

HCC is in the Materials Long-term Top 10.

Materials Long-term Top 10 — since 18 Aug 2026

Long-term score

63.0 #116 of 987 scored · #7 of 66 in Materials

  • Profitability37.2
  • Growth93.5
  • Financial health64.4
  • Valuation58.8
  • Capital return11.4
  • Long-term trend86.4

Growth 94th (revenue growth year over year 37.5%) and long-term trend 86th (it is 2.5% below its highest point of the past year); weakest is capital return (11th, consecutive years of dividend increases 1 year).

Short-term score

42.7 #1256 of 1,704 scored · #62 of 83 in Materials

  • Trend86.3
  • Momentum56.1
  • Setup17.2
  • Volume and participation66.1
  • Catalysts32.5

Trend 86th: it is trading 23.0% above its 50-day average, the short-term trend line; volume and participation 66th: trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average; weakest is setup 17th: day-to-day price swings are unusually wide versus its own recent history (wider than about 99% of the past ~6 months). Its score is docked 10 points for overextended (RSI above 75 or stochastic above 90).

Materials Long-term Top 10

In this list since 18 Aug 2026 — currently 7th in the list (3 days)

  • Entered 18 Aug 2026: first selection for this list at rank 9, score 59.4.

Scores as of 21 Aug 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 2.

Dividend coverage (FY2025)

Covered by reported results. In FY2025, HCC's dividend was covered by reported results (earnings payout 31%, operating-cash-flow payout 8%). This describes past coverage, not a forecast.

  • Earnings payout31% dividends / net income
  • Operating-cash-flow payout8% dividends / operating cash flow — capital spending was not reported, so this does not subtract it

Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.

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How WARRIOR MET COAL INC looks technically

WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is trading 24.4% above its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a longer-term uptrend. Its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 238 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal. A trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 25 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend). Momentum is stretched — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 75, in overbought territory (above 70). It just made a new 20-day high, pushing above its recent trading range. It is 2.5% below its all-time high.

Trend

8
Distance from the 200-dayit is trading 24.4% above its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a longer-term uptrend+24.4%
50-day moving averageits average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $86.77$86.77
200-day moving averageits average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $85.82$85.82
Swing structureits recent peaks and dips disagree — one of them is rising while the other is not, so there is no clean up or down pattern in the swingsmixed — one of the two is not confirming
Last swing turnits last significant turn was a swing low 23 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on23 sessions
Since the 50/200 crossits 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 238 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal238 sessions
Above the 200-day after a dipit recently dipped to its 200-day average (the long-term trend line) and has since climbed back above it — now about 24.4% above+24.4%
Trend strength (14-day ADX)a trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 25 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend)24.5

Momentum

3
14-day RSImomentum is stretched — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 75, in overbought territory (above 70)74.8
Position in its 14-day rangeit is trading near the top of its 14-day range ($80.93 to $109.42) — its "stochastic" reading is 91 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions.90.6
Since the MACD crossed zeroMACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in positive territory (momentum leaning bullish)29 sessions

Range

12
52-week highits highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $109.42$109.42
From the 52-week highit is 2.5% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year)-2.5%
Above the 52-week lowit is 95.3% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year)+95.3%
Below the 52-week highit is 2.5% below its highest point of the past year2.5%
Since a 20-day breakoutit just made a new 20-day high, pushing above its recent trading range1 session
Since a 55-day breakoutit just made a new 55-day high, pushing above its recent trading range1 session
All-time highits highest closing price on record is $109.42 (set on 2026-08-21)$109.42
Given back of the 52-week moveover the past year its closes ranged ($55.15 to $106.73), and it has given back essentially none of its rise from last year’s low — 0% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $73.20 to $74.85. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast.0.0%
From the all-time highit is 2.5% below its all-time high-2.5%
Nearest price levelit is trading 6.1% above a support level at $100.22 — a price it turned at twice since 2026-03-30, most recently on 2026-06-10. Since 2024-08-21 it has 17 such levels below the current price and 0 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go.-6.1%
All-time lowits lowest closing price on record is $9.46 (set on 2020-04-27)$9.46
Above the all-time lowit is 1028.2% above its all-time low+1,028%

Volatility

5
Band width vs its own 6 monthsday-to-day price swings are unusually wide versus its own recent history (wider than about 99% of the past ~6 months)99th percentile
Typical daily rangein a typical session it travels about $4.32 between its high and its low — about 4.1% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was$4.32
Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ)most of its recent trading has stayed between about $72.30 and $109.73 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles$72.30 – $91.01 – $109.73
Typical daily range (% of price)its price moves about 4.1% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price4.0%
Stretch from the 200-day averageit is trading 4.8 daily ranges above its 200-day average price (24.4% above it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale4.8 daily ranges above its 200-day average

Volume

1
Volume vs its 30-day averagetrading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average1.25×

Analyst

2
Change in the average price targetanalysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading0.0%
Change in the consensus ratingthe analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior readingunchanged

Price gaps

3
Gap at the openit opened on 2026-08-21 1.8% above the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and had not traded back through that level by the close+1.8%
Open gapit gapped 2.3% above the previous close 2 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 97.74 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed+2.3%
Gap filleda 2.7% gap up opened on 2026-08-06 has been "filled" 11 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it11 sessions ago

Price streaks

1
Closing streakit closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run1 session up

Relative strength

4
vs market, 1 monthover the past 1 month this stock beat the market by 31.5 percentage points (the stock gained 33.8% while the market gained 2.3%)+31.5%
vs market, 3 monthsover the past 3 months this stock beat the market by 21.8 percentage points (the stock gained 24.9% while the market gained 3.1%)+21.8%
vs market, 6 monthsover the past 6 months this stock beat the market by 14.5 percentage points (the stock gained 25.5% while the market gained 11.1%)+14.5%
vs market, 12 monthsover the past 12 months this stock beat the market by 66.1 percentage points (the stock gained 86.6% while the market gained 20.5%)+66.1%

Signal agreement

2
Bullish technical signals6 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: a "golden cross" — its 50-day average is above its 200-day, trading above its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day high, MACD momentum is positive, outperforming the market over 6 months, trading above the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast6 of 9
Bearish technical signals2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: its RSI momentum gauge is overbought (a stretched reading), near the top of its 14-day range (overbought) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast2 of 9

Trend (Ichimoku cloud)

1
Vs the Ichimoku cloudtrading 21% above the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-16 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established uptrend, with the band below acting as the level that would have to give way. The band itself is moderate, spanning 3.5% of the share price.+21.5%

Volume-weighted price

2
Vs this year’s average price paidthe price is 21% above the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is showing a gain. That average is $88.24 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 150 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.+20.9%
Vs the average paid since it last reportedthe price is 11% above the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-05 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is showing a gain. That average is $96.46 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 13 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.+10.6%

Price levels it has turned at before

HCC last closed at $106.73 on 2026-08-21. Since 2024-08-21 it has turned at 17 prices below its last close and 0 above; the 3 nearest below are listed, nearest first.

LevelSideDistanceEvidence
$100.22Support6.1% below the last closeturned there twice · 2026-03-30 to 2026-06-10
$92.25Support13.6% below the last closeturned there twice · 2026-02-25 to 2026-04-21
$86.36Support19.1% below the last closeturned there twice · 2025-11-12 to 2025-12-31

A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.

Wave structure

No Elliott-wave labelling currently fits its swings: the recent highs and lows do not satisfy the three rules a five-wave count has to obey, so there is no count to show rather than a count we are unsure about.

Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-21.

An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.

Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-21. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.

Ask about HCC's technicals →

Analyst consensus

  • Consensus ratingBuy (1.86 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 6 analysts
  • Mean price target$102.67 range $90.00 – $123.00; median $99.00

Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-21. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.

Analyst EPS estimate for HCC

  • Consensus EPS estimate$1.48 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-21

Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.

The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.

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Key risks (from latest filing)

["Exposure to volatility in global steel and metallurgical coal market prices.","Operational risks inherent to underground mining, including geological conditions and safety requirements.","Regulatory and environmental compliance risks associated with coal mining and greenhouse gas emissions."]

See HCC's biggest risks from its latest 10-Q →

What changed in the latest 10-Q

AI-assisted comparison of HCC's 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 against the prior one filed 2025-11-05.

Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)

  • Added:
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) covers three months ended March 31, 2026 with comparison to three months ended March 31, 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) shows operating income of $79.368 million for Q1 2026 vs. operating loss of $17.384 million for Q1 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) shows net income of $72.341 million for Q1 2026 vs. net loss of $8.168 million for Q1 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) shows sales revenues of $448.469 million for Q1 2026 vs. $294.933 million for Q1 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) reports balance sheet as of March 31, 2026 with comparison to December 31, 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) shows cash used in operating activities of $11.726 million for Q1 2026 vs. cash provided of $10.917 million for Q1 2025
    • Newer filing (2026-04-30) shows stockholders' equity of $2.204537 billion as of March 31, 2026 vs. $2.141385 billion as of December 31, 2025
  • Removed:
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) covered nine months ended September 30, 2025 and comparison period to September 30, 2024 - not present in newer filing
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) showed sales revenues of $903.393 million for nine months ended September 30, 2025 - replaced by Q1 2026 data
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) reported operating income of $11.062 million for nine months ended September 30, 2025 - replaced by Q1 2026 data
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) showed net income of $34.036 million for nine months ended September 30, 2025 - replaced by Q1 2026 data
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) reported balance sheet as of September 30, 2025 - replaced by March 31, 2026 data
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) included long-term investments line item of $2.025 million as of September 30, 2025 - not present in March 31, 2026 balance sheet
    • Older filing (2025-11-05) reported income tax receivable of $3.066 million as current asset as of September 30, 2025 - not present in March 31, 2026 balance sheet
  • Notes:
    • The two filings present different reporting periods (Q1 2026 vs. nine months ended September 30, 2025), making direct operational comparison limited to the forward-looking statement boilerplate which is identical
    • Financial statements are from materially different periods: Q1 2026 (three months) versus nine months 2025 data in older filing
    • The older filing includes comparative year-over-year data for nine-month periods while newer filing focuses on quarterly comparison

Risk Factors

  • Added:
    • Reference to '2025 Annual Report' instead of '2024 Annual Report' in Risk Factors section (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Share repurchase table for three months ended March 31, 2026 with monthly breakdown showing 158,777 shares purchased in February 2026 at $93.18 per share under Employee Transactions (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted by Jack K. Richardson on February 23, 2026 for potential sale of up to 158,891 shares terminating March 12, 2027 (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted by Kelli K. Gant on February 26, 2026 for potential sale of up to 40,000 shares terminating December 31, 2027 (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted by Walter J. Scheller, III on March 2, 2026 for potential sale of up to 150,000 shares terminating December 31, 2027 (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Exhibits 10.2 and 10.3 referencing Federal Coal Leases incorporated from Form 10-K filed February 12, 2026 (filed 2026-04-30)
    • Exhibit 10.4 referencing Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 2026 Equity Incentive Plan incorporated from Form S-8 filed April 20, 2026 (filed 2026-04-30)
  • Removed:
    • Reference to '2024 Annual Report' replaced with '2025 Annual Report' (filed 2025-11-05)
    • Share repurchase table for three months ended September 30, 2025 with monthly breakdown for July-September 2025 showing zero transactions (filed 2025-11-05)
    • Statement that 'During the three months ended September 30, 2025, none of the Company's directors or officers adopted or terminated a Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement' (filed 2025-11-05)
    • Exhibits 10.2 and 10.3 not present in the older filing (filed 2025-11-05)
  • Reworded:
    • Item 5 Other Information section: Complete replacement of content from statement about no Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements in Q3 2025 to disclosure of three specific Rule 10b5-1 trading plans adopted in Q1 2026 (filed 2026-04-30 vs 2025-11-05)
  • Notes:
    • The comparison covers Item 1A (Risk Factors introduction), Item 2 (Unregistered Sales), Item 3-4 (boilerplate), Item 5 (Other Information), and Item 6 (Exhibits) sections only
    • Page numbers differ between filings (29-31 in newer vs 32-34 in older) but content structure is comparable
    • Risk Factors Item 1A contains only introductory language; full risk factor disclosures are incorporated by reference to annual reports

AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

0 open-market purchases and 1 open-market sale by insiders in the last 90 days.

  • Last 90 days0 buys · 1 sell ($2M) — 1 selling insider
  • Last 180 days0 buys · 1 sell ($2M) — 1 selling insider

Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)

Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-06-02. As of 2026-08-24.

View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filings

Ask about HCC's insider activity →

Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.

Institutional ownership (13F)

6 institutional 13F filers reported holding HCC as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).

  • Distinct 13F filers 6
  • Reported shares held 16,276,856
  • Reported value $1,516,189,126

reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 4 increased, 2 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".

Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Short interest (FINRA)

HCC had 4,544,144 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).

HCC had 8.61% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 6.28 days to cover at the same settlement.

  • Reported short interest (shares) 4,544,144
  • Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 8.61%
  • Prior settlement (shares) 3,906,361
  • Reported change 16.33%
  • Days to cover (reported) 6.28

Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Competitors & peers

AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.

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Frequently asked questions

What does WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) do?

Warrior Met Coal is a US-based producer of premium hard coking coal (HCC), which is primarily used as a critical ingredient in the steelmaking process. The company operates highly productive, low-cost longwall mining operations in the Blue Creek coal seam in Alabama. Its products are sold globally, primarily to steel producers through long-term supply contracts.

What sector is WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) in?

WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is classified in the Materials sector. Its industry is Metallurgical Coal Mining. It trades on NYSE.

Does HCC pay a dividend?

Yes — WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 0.51% and 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC EDGAR XBRL) (market data, as of 2026-08-24). Informational only — not financial advice.

Who are WARRIOR MET COAL INC's (HCC) competitors?

Notable peers of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) include Peabody Energy, Arch Resources, Alpha Metallurgical Resources and Ramaco Resources. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.

Is WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) overbought or oversold right now?

WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is currently in overbought territory (its 14-day RSI is 75, above 70) (as of 2026-08-21). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.

Where does stocks-llm's data on HCC come from?

Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-24; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.

Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-24. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.

Last updated 2026-08-21.

Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.

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