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VSE CORP (VSEC)

Industrials · aftermarket services and distribution · NASDAQ

VSE Corporation is a leading provider of aftermarket parts and supply chain services for the global aviation and commercial fleet markets.

What VSE CORP does

VSE Corporation is a diversified aftermarket products and services company primarily serving the aviation and fleet sectors. The company provides aftermarket distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for commercial and military aircraft, as well as parts and supply chain solutions for heavy-duty truck and fleet customers.

Themes: aviation aftermarket, supply chain management, fleet maintenance, aerospace MRO

Fundamentals

  • Price$169.97 as of 2026-10-08 close
  • Market cap$4.8B as of 2026-07-31 (share count; price 2026-10-08)
  • 1-year return+3.3% 2025-10-08 close $164.54 → 2026-10-08 close $169.97
  • P/E62.23 as of 2026-10-08
  • Net margin+1.1% FY2025, SEC XBRL
  • ROE+0.8% FY2025, SEC XBRL
  • Debt / equity0.32 as of 2026-09-02
  • Revenue growth (YoY)+23.4% as of 2026-09-02
  • Revenue CAGR (3y)+18.4% SEC XBRL
  • Beta1.48 as of 2026-09-02
  • Last reported earnings2026-08-05 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)

Dividend: yield +0.2%; at least 12 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC XBRL) — a stock split inside this window left the earlier years on a different per-share basis, so the real streak may be longer.

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How VSEC compares in its sector

  • price-to-earnings ratiotop 25% 349 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-10-08
  • net profit marginmiddle range 417 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-02
  • operating marginmiddle range 392 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-02
  • return on equitybottom 25% 432 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-02
  • 3-year revenue CAGRtop 25% 428 covered Industrials peers
  • indicated dividend yieldbottom 10% 271 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-02
  • free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)bottom 25% 417 covered Industrials peers, as of FY2025

Position among covered Industrials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.

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Top 10 scores & list membership

VSEC is not currently in any published Top 10 list. Its scores are below.

Top 10 score

47.6 #875 of 1,379 scored · #150 of 238 in Industrials

  • Profitability28.7
  • Growth80.6
  • Financial health41.6
  • Valuation45.1
  • Capital return43.3
  • Trend42.1

Growth 81st (3-year revenue CAGR 18.4%, revenue growth year over year 23.4%) and valuation 45th (price to book 1.6, price to earnings 62.2); weakest is profitability (29th, return on equity 0.8%, operating margin 8.1%).

Scores as of 8 Oct 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 4.

Dividend coverage (FY2025)

Exceeded at least one reported measure. In FY2025, VSEC's dividend exceeded at least one reported measure of what it earned or generated (earnings payout 71%, free-cash-flow payout 145%). A payout above 100% in one year is not necessarily unsustainable, but it is not fully covered by that measure.

  • Earnings payout71% dividends / net income
  • Free-cash-flow payout145% dividends / (operating cash flow − capex)

Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.

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How VSE CORP looks technically

VSE CORP (VSEC) is trading 14.4% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 834 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal. A strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 30, with sellers in control. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 39, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bullish about 2 trading days ago (its momentum flipped positive). It made a new 20-day low about 6 trading days ago. It is 31.4% below its highest point of the past year. Day-to-day price swings are unusually narrow versus its own recent history — a "Bollinger squeeze" (in the tightest 8% of the past ~6 months), which often precedes a bigger move.

Trend

8
Distance from the 200-dayit is trading 14.4% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend-14.4%
50-day moving averageits average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $200.04$200.04
200-day moving averageits average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $198.54$198.54
Swing structureeach recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes nextlower highs and lower lows
Last swing turnits last significant turn was a swing low 7 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on7 sessions
Wave structureits recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in the fourth leg, a pullback against that downward direction; the labelling fails if price closes above 172.67. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next.possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 4 (atypical proportions)
Since the 50/200 crossits 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 834 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal834 sessions
Trend strength (14-day ADX)a strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 30, with sellers in control29.8

Momentum

3
14-day RSImomentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 39, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30)39.3
Position in its 14-day rangeit is trading in the lower half of its 14-day range ($157.91 to $185.27) — its "stochastic" reading is 44 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions.44.1
Since the MACD crossed zeroMACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bullish about 2 trading days ago (its momentum flipped positive)2 sessions

Range

12
52-week highits highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $247.85$247.85
From the 52-week highit is 31.4% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year)-31.4%
Above the 52-week lowit is 9.9% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year)+9.9%
Below the 52-week highit is 31.4% below its highest point of the past year31.4%
Since a 20-day breakoutit made a new 20-day low about 6 trading days ago6 sessions
Since a 55-day breakoutit made a new 55-day low about 6 trading days ago6 sessions
All-time highits highest closing price on record is $247.85 (set on 2026-08-12)$247.85
Given back of the 52-week moveover the past year its closes ranged ($154.96 to $243.48), and it has given back almost all of its rise from last year’s low — 83% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $185.94 to $188.77. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast.83.0%
From the all-time highit is 31.4% below its all-time high-31.4%
Nearest price levelit is sitting right on a resistance level at $170.07 — a price it turned at five times since 2025-08-22, most recently on 2026-06-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has 7 such levels below the current price and 4 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go.+0.1%
All-time lowits lowest closing price on record is $5.00 (set on 2006-04-27)$5.00
Above the all-time lowit is 3302.8% above its all-time low+3,303%

Volatility

5
Band width vs its own 6 monthsday-to-day price swings are unusually narrow versus its own recent history — a "Bollinger squeeze" (in the tightest 8% of the past ~6 months), which often precedes a bigger move8th percentile
Typical daily rangein a typical session it travels about $8.85 between its high and its low — about 5.2% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was$8.85
Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ)most of its recent trading has stayed between about $158.94 and $192.22 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles$158.94 – $175.58 – $192.22
Typical daily range (% of price)its price moves about 5.2% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price5.2%
Stretch from the 200-day averageit is trading 3.2 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (14.4% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale3.2 daily ranges below its 200-day average

Volume

1
Volume vs its 30-day averagetrading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average1.41×

Analyst

2
Change in the average price targetanalysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading0.0%
Change in the consensus ratingthe analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior readingunchanged

Price gaps

3
Gap at the openit opened on 2026-10-08 1.7% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close-1.7%
Open gapit gapped 2.0% below the previous close 8 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 180.77 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed-2.0%
Gap filleda 2.8% gap up opened on 2026-10-02 has been "filled" 4 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it4 sessions ago

Price streaks

1
Closing streakit closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run1 session up

Relative strength

4
vs market, 1 monthover the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 18.8 percentage points (the stock lost 17.8% while the market gained 1.0%)-18.8%
vs market, 3 monthsover the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 21.5 percentage points (the stock lost 17.7% while the market gained 3.8%)-21.5%
vs market, 6 monthsover the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 28.4 percentage points (the stock lost 10.9% while the market gained 17.5%)-28.4%
vs market, 12 monthsover the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 11.7 percentage points (the stock gained 3.3% while the market gained 15.0%)-11.7%

Signal agreement

2
Bullish technical signals2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: a "golden cross" — its 50-day average is above its 200-day, MACD momentum is positive — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast2 of 9
Bearish technical signals4 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: trading below its 200-day average, a strong downtrend, with sellers in control, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast4 of 9

Trend (Ichimoku cloud)

1
Vs the Ichimoku cloudtrading 21% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-01 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thin, spanning 0.8% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that gives way easily.-20.6%

Volume-weighted price

2
Vs this year’s average price paidthe price is 14% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $197.47 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 191 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-13.9%
Vs the average paid since it last reportedthe price is 14% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-05 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $197.71 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 46 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-14.0%

Double top, bearish — broke down · entry $184.98 · 67 sessions in

Price levels it has turned at before

VSEC last closed at $169.97 on 2026-10-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has turned at 7 prices below its last close and 4 above; the 3 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.

LevelSideDistanceEvidence
$170.07Resistance0.1% above the last closeturned there five times · 2025-08-22 to 2026-06-08
$173.62Resistance2.1% above the last closeturned there twice · 2025-09-18 to 2026-09-18
$160.81Support5.4% below the last closeturned there three times · 2025-11-14 to 2026-04-29
$156.68Support7.8% below the last closeturned there six times · 2025-08-20 to 2026-10-01
$185.68Resistance9.2% above the last closeturned there 8 times · 2025-10-27 to 2026-09-25
$140.24Support17.5% below the last closeturned there three times · 2025-05-15 to 2025-06-25

A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.

Wave structure

Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 4 of five, a pullback against that direction.

This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $172.67.

It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones.

On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $164.37 and $171.59 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.

This reading has stood for 1 trading day, since 2026-10-08.

Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-08.

An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.

Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-08. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.

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Analyst consensus

  • Consensus ratingStrong Buy (1.45 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 9 analysts
  • Mean price target$270.00 range $245.00 – $290.00

Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-07. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.

Analyst EPS estimate for VSEC

  • Consensus EPS estimate$1.74 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-07
  • Estimate change, 30 days-$0.01702 (-1.0%) from $1.75, on 2026-09-02, 35-day window
  • Readings revised upward13% of 8 comparable readings

The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.

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Key risks (from latest filing)

["performance of the aviation aftermarket and cyclical demand","successful integration of strategic acquisitions like PAG","supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures"]

See VSEC's biggest risks from its latest 10-Q →

What changed in the latest 10-Q

AI-assisted comparison of VSEC's 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 against the prior one filed 2025-10-27.

Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)

  • Added:
    • PAG Acquisition completed on May 5, 2026 - acquisition of Precision Aviation Group from GenNx360 Capital Partners
    • Credit Agreement Amendment on May 5, 2026 providing $900.0 million term loan B facility and revolving facility increased to $500.0 million
    • Underwritten Public Offerings in February 2026 - 4,587,766 common shares at $188.00 and 9,200,000 tangible equity units at $50.00 stated value, generating ~$1.3 billion net proceeds
    • Aero 3 acquisition in December 2025 mentioned as recent acquisition
    • Record Q1 2026 results with 27% year-over-year revenue increase to $324.6 million
    • Distribution revenue increased 26% and repair revenue increased 28% in Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025
    • Operating income increased 34% in Q1 2026 driven by revenue growth, favorable sales mix and pricing
    • Net interest income increased in Q1 2026 due to excess cash proceeds and lower borrowings
    • Effective tax rate of 14.9% for Q1 2026 vs 15.7% for Q1 2025, driven by excess stock compensation deduction
    • Reference to $300.0 million term loan and $400.0 million revolving facility as of March 31, 2026, both maturing May 2, 2030
  • Removed:
    • Sale of Fleet segment completed in April 2025
    • Q3 2025 revenue of $282.9 million representing 39% year-over-year increase
    • Repair revenue increased 25% and distribution revenue increased 49% in Q3 2025
    • Reference to TCI acquisition in April 2024 and Kellstrom Aerospace acquisition in December 2024
    • Reference to Honeywell FCS acquisition in September 2023
    • Nine-month results for 2025 and 2024
    • $23.3 million and $29.2 million valuation adjustment charges on earn-out receivable from Fleet Sale
    • Lease abandonment charge of $12.2 million and corporate restructuring charges of $4.0 million from prior year
    • Effective tax rate of 37.5% and 18.7% for Q3 and nine months ended September 30, 2025
    • Reference to accrual for potential tax dispute associated with dissolution of foreign subsidiary
  • Reworded:
    • Business Overview changed from 'diversified aviation aftermarket products and services company' to 'leading provider of aftermarket distribution and maintenance, repair and overhaul services'
    • Business Overview removed references to 'logistics, supply chain management and consulting services' and added focus on 'commercial and government markets' with 'single reportable segment'
    • Operating metrics now show Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 comparison instead of Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024
    • Recent Developments section restructured to focus on PAG Acquisition, Credit Agreement Amendment, and Underwritten Public Offerings instead of Fleet Sale and Turbine Weld acquisition
    • Business Trends section emphasizes 'record results' for Q1 2026 instead of Q3 2025 strong performance
    • Interest expense categorization changed to 'Interest (Income) Expense, net' showing net income instead of expense in Q1 2026
  • Notes:
    • The two filings report different fiscal quarters (Q1 2026 vs Q3 2025), making some comparisons reflect temporal differences rather than policy changes
    • The newer filing text appears truncated at the end of the Liquidity section
    • Older filing contains nine-month data while newer filing shows only three-month data in the Results of Operations table

Risk Factors

The two filings could not be meaningfully compared for this section.

AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

0 open-market purchases and 12 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-04. The 5 days since 2026-10-04 have not been checked yet.

  • Last 30 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 4 sells ($293614) — 1 selling insider
  • Last 90 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 12 sells ($5M) — 1 selling insider
  • Last 180 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 13 sells ($6M) — 2 selling insiders

Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)

Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-09-14. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-04; anything filed since is not yet included.

View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filings

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Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.

Institutional ownership (13F)

4 institutional 13F filers reported holding VSEC as of 2026-06-30 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).

  • Distinct 13F filers 4
  • Reported shares held 7,645,684
  • Reported value $1,747,038,926

reported quarterly holdings change (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30): 0 new, 3 increased, 1 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".

Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Short interest (FINRA)

VSEC had 2,275,521 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).

VSEC had 8.11% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 7.23 days to cover at the same settlement.

  • Reported short interest (shares) 2,275,521
  • Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 8.11%
  • Prior settlement (shares) 2,072,198
  • Reported change 9.81%
  • Days to cover (reported) 7.23

Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-15 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Competitors & peers

AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.

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Frequently asked questions

What does VSE CORP (VSEC) do?

VSE Corporation is a diversified aftermarket products and services company primarily serving the aviation and fleet sectors. The company provides aftermarket distribution and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for commercial and military aircraft, as well as parts and supply chain solutions for heavy-duty truck and fleet customers.

What sector is VSE CORP (VSEC) in?

VSE CORP (VSEC) is classified in the Industrials sector. Its industry is aftermarket services and distribution. It trades on NASDAQ.

Does VSEC pay a dividend?

Yes — VSE CORP (VSEC) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 0.23% and at least 12 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC EDGAR XBRL) — a stock split inside this window left the earlier years on a different per-share basis, so the real streak may be longer (market data, as of 2026-09-02). Informational only — not financial advice.

Who are VSE CORP's (VSEC) competitors?

Notable peers of VSE CORP (VSEC) include AAR Corp, HEICO, TransDigm Group, Wesco Aircraft (acquired) and Parts Authority. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.

Is VSE CORP (VSEC) overbought or oversold right now?

VSE CORP (VSEC) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 39, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-10-08). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.

Where does stocks-llm's data on VSEC come from?

Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-02 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-02; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.

Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-02 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.

Last updated 2026-10-08.

Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.