REALLOYS INC (ALOY)
Materials · Rare Earth Materials / Specialty Metals · NASDAQ
REalloys is establishing a secure, non-Chinese North American supply chain for critical rare earth and magnet materials essential for defense and high-tech industries.
What REALLOYS INC does
REalloys Inc. is a materials company focused on building a North American "mine-to-magnet" supply chain for critical rare earth elements. The company is developing rare earth processing and metallization facilities, including an upgrade to the Saskatchewan Research Council's processing facility, to produce NdPr metal and dysprosium/terbium oxides for defense and industrial applications.
Recent developments
In Q2 2026, the company fully funded the upgrade of the SRC Rare Earth Processing Facility and its own Heavy Rare Earth Metallization Facility, while being selected by the U.S. Army for lease negotiations at the Tooele Army Depot. The company raised $100 million in a June 2026 private placement, ending the quarter with $122.4 million in cash.
From REALLOYS INC's filing of 2026-08-13.
Themes: Critical Minerals, Rare Earth Supply Chain, Defense Infrastructure, Industrial Independence
Fundamentals
- Price$7.58 as of 2026-10-08 close
- Market cap$523M as of 2026-08-12 (share count; price 2026-10-08)
- 1-year return-14.3% 2025-10-08 close $8.84 → 2026-10-08 close $7.58
- P/En/a negative earnings
- ROE-78.2% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- Debt / equity0.01 as of 2026-09-03
- Revenue growth (YoY)+1.8% as of 2026-09-03
- Beta1.74 as of 2026-09-03
- Last reported earnings2026-08-13 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
How ALOY compares in its sector
- return on equitybottom 10% 144 covered Materials peers, as of 2026-09-03
Position among covered Materials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
How REALLOYS INC looks technically
REALLOYS INC (ALOY) is trading 32.7% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 24 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. A trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 23 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend). Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 35, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). It just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-07-29, breaking below its recent trading range. It is 71.8% below its highest point of the past year. Day-to-day price swings are unusually narrow versus its own recent history — a "Bollinger squeeze" (in the tightest 1% of the past ~6 months), which often precedes a bigger move.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 32.7% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -32.7% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $10.06 | $10.06 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $11.27 | $11.27 |
| Swing structure | its recent peaks and dips disagree — one of them is rising while the other is not, so there is no clean up or down pattern in the swings | mixed — one of the two is not confirming |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 16 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 16 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a completed three-part upward correction — a pullback in the A-B-C shape Elliott-wave chartists use; the labelling fails if price closes above 9.42. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible three-wave upward correction, complete (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 24 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal | 24 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | a trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 23 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend) | 22.8 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 35, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 34.6 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading right at the bottom of its 14-day range ($7.49 to $9.42) — its "stochastic" reading is 5 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions. | 4.9 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in positive territory (momentum leaning bullish) | 11 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $26.90 | $26.90 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 71.8% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -71.8% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 26.3% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +26.3% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 71.8% below its highest point of the past year | 71.8% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-07-29, breaking below its recent trading range | 1 session |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day low about 54 trading days ago | 54 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $63.00 (set on 2017-10-18) | $63.00 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($6.36 to $25.88), and it has given back almost all of its rise from last year’s low — 94% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $13.19 to $13.81. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 93.7% |
| From the all-time high | it is 88.0% below its all-time high | -88.0% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 1.5% above a support level at $7.46 — a price it turned at twice since 2025-12-18, most recently on 2026-04-07. Since 2024-10-08 it has 5 such levels below the current price and 4 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | -1.5% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $1.04 (set on 2022-12-30) | $1.04 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 626.1% above its all-time low | +626.0% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are unusually narrow versus its own recent history — a "Bollinger squeeze" (in the tightest 1% of the past ~6 months), which often precedes a bigger move | 1st percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.5834 between its high and its low — about 7.7% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.5834 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $7.56 and $9.14 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $7.56 – $8.35 – $9.14 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 7.7% in a typical session — more volatile than most companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 7.7% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 6.3 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (32.7% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 6.3 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 1.12× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | not available for this company yet | n/a |
Candlestick patterns
2
| Since a doji | 1 session ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | 1 session ago |
|---|---|---|
| Since a hammer | 1 session ago, after a stretch of decline, it sold off hard during the session and then closed back near its high — a "hammer", the long lower wick showing the drop was bought back before the close | 1 session ago |
Price gaps
3
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-10-08 2.7% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and had not traded back through that level by the close | -2.6% |
|---|---|---|
| Open gap | it gapped 2.7% below the previous close today and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 7.93 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed | -2.6% |
| Gap filled | a 2.3% gap up opened on 2026-10-02 has been "filled" 4 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it closed again during the very session that opened it | 4 sessions ago |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it has closed lower 2 sessions in a row, a -6.65% move over the run — an unbroken run of down days, which describes what has already happened and says nothing about the next session | 2 sessions down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 25.9 percentage points (the stock lost 24.9% while the market gained 1.0%) | -25.9% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 45.1 percentage points (the stock lost 41.2% while the market gained 3.8%) | -45.1% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 30.2 percentage points (the stock lost 12.8% while the market gained 17.5%) | -30.2% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 29.2 percentage points (the stock lost 14.3% while the market gained 15.0%) | -29.2% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: MACD momentum is positive, near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 2 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 5 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 5 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 32% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-01 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thick, spanning 33.3% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that has held for a while and takes effort to cross. | -32.2% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 35% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $11.68 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 193 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -35.1% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 25% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-13 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $10.16 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 40 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -25.4% |
Price levels it has turned at before
ALOY last closed at $7.58 on 2026-10-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has turned at 5 prices below its last close and 4 above; the 3 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $7.46 | Support | 1.5% below the last close | turned there twice · 2025-12-18 to 2026-04-07 |
| $7.99 | Resistance | 5.4% above the last close | turned there five times · 2025-07-30 to 2026-09-16 |
| $6.82 | Support | 10.0% below the last close | turned there four times · 2025-06-20 to 2026-07-24 |
| $6.00 | Support | 20.8% below the last close | turned there twice · 2025-01-22 to 2025-11-21 |
| $9.36 | Resistance | 23.5% above the last close | turned there twice · 2026-02-17 to 2026-09-22 |
| $10.53 | Resistance | 38.9% above the last close | turned there three times · 2025-12-10 to 2026-05-06 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a three-part upward correction — the A-B-C shape chartists use for a pullback — now complete.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $9.42.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.
This reading has stood for 12 trading days, since 2026-09-23.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-08.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Recent death cross (50-day crossed below 200-day) · Pulled back from the 12-month high · Broke down to a new 20-day low · in a Bollinger Band volatility squeeze · lagging the market | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · breakout · fifty two week high low · bollinger bands
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-08. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Mean price target$17.00 range $16.00 – $18.00
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-09. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for ALOY
- Consensus EPS estimate-$0.055 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-09
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Limited operating history at forecasted production volumes.","Heavy reliance on short-term government and research contracts with no guarantee of future orders.","Significant concentration of voting control in the CEO, which may conflict with the interests of other stockholders."]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of ALOY's 10-Q filed 2026-08-13 against the prior one filed 2026-05-20.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Reworded:
- The newer filing (2026-08-13) uses a curly apostrophe in "Management’s Discussion" (’ U+2019), while the older filing (2026-05-20) uses a straight apostrophe in "Management's Discussion" (' U+0027).
- The newer filing (2026-08-13) uses "Company’s Current Report" with a curly apostrophe, while the older filing (2026-05-20) uses "Company's Current Report" with a straight apostrophe.
- Notes:
- Both excerpts appear truncated at the same point, ending mid-sentence with "Part II."
Risk Factors
- Added:
- Newer filing dated 2026-08-13 adds a new sentence in the REalloys risk factor: 'PMT Critical Minerals, a wholly-owned subsidiary of REalloys, is currently relies on short-term contract work to support its operations.'
- Removed:
- Older filing dated 2026-05-20 contains the sentence 'We are dependent on short term contract work and there are no guarantees that REalloys will receive any additi' which is absent from the newer filing.
- Reworded:
- In the Blackbox integration risk factor, the newer filing dated 2026-08-13 changes 'will result in the anticipated deconsolidation of Blackbox.io in the second quarter of 2026, will further reduce the period' to 'resulted in the deconsolidation of Blackbox.io in the second quarter of 2026, further reducing the period'.
- Notes:
- The older filing text is truncated at the end ('...REalloys will receive any additi'), so the full final sentence of the older REalloys risk factor is not available for exact comparison.
- The newer filing text also appears to end abruptly with the same REalloys risk factor passage, and the full remainder of the newer section is not provided.
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
No open-market insider purchases or sales recorded in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-04. The 5 days since 2026-10-04 have not been checked yet.
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-03-17. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-04; anything filed since is not yet included.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about ALOY's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
4 institutional 13F filers reported holding ALOY as of 2026-06-30 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 4
- Reported shares held 15,496,493
- Reported value $223,924,326
reported quarterly holdings change (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30): 2 new, 2 increased, 0 decreased, 1 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Ask about ALOY's institutional holders → See what each manager we track holds →
Short interest (FINRA)
ALOY had 9,064,512 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
ALOY had 13.1% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 4.94 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 9,064,512
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 13.1%
- Prior settlement (shares) 7,955,500
- Reported change 13.94%
- Days to cover (reported) 4.94
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-15 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- MP Materials (MP)
- Lynas Rare Earths (LYSCF)
- Energy Fuels (UUUU)
- Ucore Rare Metals (UURAF)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
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Frequently asked questions
What does REALLOYS INC (ALOY) do?
REalloys Inc. is a materials company focused on building a North American "mine-to-magnet" supply chain for critical rare earth elements. The company is developing rare earth processing and metallization facilities, including an upgrade to the Saskatchewan Research Council's processing facility, to produce NdPr metal and dysprosium/terbium oxides for defense and industrial applications.
What sector is REALLOYS INC (ALOY) in?
REALLOYS INC (ALOY) is classified in the Materials sector. Its industry is Rare Earth Materials / Specialty Metals. It trades on NASDAQ.
Who are REALLOYS INC's (ALOY) competitors?
Notable peers of REALLOYS INC (ALOY) include MP Materials, Lynas Rare Earths, Energy Fuels and Ucore Rare Metals. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is REALLOYS INC (ALOY) overbought or oversold right now?
REALLOYS INC (ALOY) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 35, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-10-08). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on ALOY come from?
Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-03; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-10-08.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.