Allison Transmission (ALSN)
Industrials · Automotive Parts / Powertrain Systems · NYSE
Allison Transmission is the global leader in fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial and defense vehicles.
What Allison Transmission does
Allison Transmission is a leading designer and manufacturer of vehicle propulsion solutions, including fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles. Its products are widely used in trucks, buses, construction equipment, and defense applications. The company operates globally to provide high-performance propulsion systems that enhance vehicle efficiency and reliability.
Themes: commercial vehicle propulsion, heavy-duty transportation, industrial manufacturing
Fundamentals
- Price$109.11 as of 2026-10-08 close
- Market cap$9.0B as of 2026-07-22 (share count; price 2026-10-08)
- 1-year return+31.6% 2025-10-08 close $82.91 → 2026-10-08 close $109.11
- P/E17.36 as of 2026-10-08
- Net margin+20.7% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- Gross margin+48.6% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- ROE+33.4% FY2025, SEC XBRL
- Debt / equity2.08 as of 2026-09-03
- Revenue growth (YoY)+37.6% as of 2026-09-03
- Revenue CAGR (3y)+2.8% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.05 as of 2026-09-03
- Last reported earnings2026-08-03 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
Dividend: yield +1.0%; at least 4 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC XBRL) — we do not hold the year before it, so the real streak may be longer.
How ALSN compares in its sector
- price-to-earnings ratiobottom 25% 349 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-10-08
- net profit margintop 10% 417 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- operating margintop 10% 392 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- gross margintop 10% 253 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- return on equitytop 10% 432 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- 3-year revenue CAGRmiddle range 428 covered Industrials peers
- indicated dividend yieldmiddle range 271 covered Industrials peers, as of 2026-09-03
- free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)top 25% 417 covered Industrials peers, as of FY2025
Position among covered Industrials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
Top 10 scores & list membership
ALSN is in the Top 10 — Industrials.
Top 10 — Industrials — since 1 Oct 2026
Top 10 score
63.3 #143 of 1,379 scored · #5 of 238 in Industrials
Profitability 89th (return on equity 33.4%, operating margin 29.2%) and capital return 69th (net share count bought back over the year 3.4, consecutive years of dividend increases 4 years); weakest is financial health (47th, debt to equity 2.1, free cash flow margin 22%).
In this list since 1 Oct 2026 — currently 5th in the list (7 days)
- Entered 1 Oct 2026: score 64.7, rank 5 (not compared with 1 Sep 2026 — those rows were scored under method version 3, this pass under 4, and the formula changed between them, so a score is only comparable within one version).
Scores as of 8 Oct 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 4.
Dividend coverage (FY2025)
Covered by reported results. In FY2025, ALSN's dividend was covered by reported results (earnings payout 15%, free-cash-flow payout 14%). This describes past coverage, not a forecast.
- Earnings payout15% dividends / net income
- Free-cash-flow payout14% dividends / (operating cash flow − capex)
Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.
How Allison Transmission looks technically
Allison Transmission (ALSN) is trading 7.3% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 185 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal. A trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 24 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend). Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 33, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). It just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-05-21, breaking below its recent trading range. It is 20.6% below its highest point of the past year.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 7.3% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -7.3% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $121.61 | $121.61 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $117.64 | $117.64 |
| Swing structure | each recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes next | lower highs and lower lows |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing low 9 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 9 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in the fourth leg, a pullback against that downward direction; the labelling fails if price closes above 120.58. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 4 (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed above its 200-day average about 185 trading days ago — a "golden cross", a bullish long-term signal | 185 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | a trend is forming but not yet strong — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 24 (a reading of 25+ marks a strong trend) | 23.5 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 33, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 32.6 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading in the lower half of its 14-day range ($105.10 to $120.97) — its "stochastic" reading is 25 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions. | 25.3 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in negative territory (momentum leaning bearish) | 28 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $137.42 | $137.42 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 20.6% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -20.6% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 43.5% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +43.5% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 20.6% below its highest point of the past year | 20.6% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-05-21, breaking below its recent trading range | 1 session |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it just made a new 55-day low, its first since 2026-05-21, breaking below its recent trading range | 1 session |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $137.42 (set on 2026-04-27) | $137.42 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($79.27 to $136.00), and it has given back around half of its rise from last year’s low — 47% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $99.13 to $100.94. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 47.4% |
| From the all-time high | it is 20.6% below its all-time high | -20.6% |
| Nearest price level | it is sitting right on a resistance level at $109.21 — a price it turned at three times since 2026-02-02, most recently on 2026-07-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has 6 such levels below the current price and 4 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | +0.1% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $15.82 (set on 2012-07-16) | $15.82 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 589.7% above its all-time low | +589.7% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are about average versus its own recent 6-month history | 60th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $4.04 between its high and its low — about 3.7% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $4.04 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $107.89 and $124.95 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $107.89 – $116.42 – $124.95 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 3.7% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 3.7% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 2.1 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (7.3% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 2.1 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average | 1.26× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts have raised their average price target by 0.2% since the prior reading | +0.2% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating has improved toward "buy" since the prior reading | 0.13 toward buy |
Candlestick patterns
3
| Since a doji | today it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | today |
|---|---|---|
| Since a hammer | today, after a stretch of decline, it sold off hard during the session and then closed back near its high — a "hammer", the long lower wick showing the drop was bought back before the close | today |
| Since a bullish engulfing | 5 sessions ago it opened below the previous session's close and finished above that session's open — a "bullish engulfing" pair, where one up day more than undid the down day before it | 5 sessions ago |
Price gaps
2
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-10-08 1.8% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and had not traded back through that level by the close | -1.8% |
|---|---|---|
| Open gap | it gapped 2.6% below the previous close 18 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 126.94 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed | -2.6% |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it has closed lower 4 sessions in a row, a -7.51% move over the run — an unbroken run of down days, which describes what has already happened and says nothing about the next session | 4 sessions down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 17.5 percentage points (the stock lost 16.4% while the market gained 1.0%) | -17.5% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 6.2 percentage points (the stock lost 2.4% while the market gained 3.8%) | -6.2% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 24.6 percentage points (the stock lost 7.1% while the market gained 17.5%) | -24.6% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock beat the market by 16.6 percentage points (the stock gained 31.6% while the market gained 15.0%) | +16.6% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 1 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it is currently in a bullish state: a "golden cross" — its 50-day average is above its 200-day — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 1 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 5 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, MACD momentum is negative, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 5 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 11% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-01 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is moderate, spanning 3.4% of the share price. | -10.7% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 8% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $118.39 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 191 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -7.8% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 10% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-03 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $121.53 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 48 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -10.2% |
Price levels it has turned at before
ALSN last closed at $109.11 on 2026-10-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has turned at 6 prices below its last close and 4 above; the 3 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $109.21 | Resistance | 0.1% above the last close | turned there three times · 2026-02-02 to 2026-07-08 |
| $106.21 | Support | 2.6% below the last close | turned there five times · 2024-12-19 to 2026-05-21 |
| $112.04 | Resistance | 2.7% above the last close | turned there six times · 2025-02-03 to 2026-09-29 |
| $101.76 | Support | 6.7% below the last close | turned there six times · 2024-10-21 to 2025-12-22 |
| $120.42 | Resistance | 10.4% above the last close | turned there five times · 2024-11-11 to 2026-09-02 |
| $97.58 | Support | 10.6% below the last close | turned there twice · 2024-10-23 to 2026-01-06 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 4 of five, a pullback against that direction.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $120.58.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones.
On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $116.08 and $120.58 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.
This reading has stood for 3 trading days, since 2026-10-06.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-08.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Pulled back from the 12-month high · Broke down to a new 20-day low · lagging the market · Printed a doji candle · Printed a hammer candle after a decline | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · breakout · fifty two week high low
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-08. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingBuy (2.27 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 11 analysts
- Mean price target$140.45 range $115.00 – $185.00; median $137.00
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-09. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for ALSN
- Consensus EPS estimate$2.48 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-09
- Estimate change, 30 days+$0.05655 (+2.3%) from $2.42, on 2026-09-07, 32-day window
- Readings revised upward22% of 9 comparable readings
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Substantial increase in debt levels following business acquisitions.","Dependence on global automotive and industrial markets which are sensitive to economic cycles.","Risks associated with the integration of acquired businesses."]
What changed in the latest 10-Q
AI-assisted comparison of ALSN's 10-Q filed 2026-08-05 against the prior one filed 2026-05-07.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
- Added:
- Newer filing (2026-08-05) states purchase price of approximately $2,628 million without the phrase 'subject to certain adjustments' that appeared in the older filing.
- Newer filing (2026-08-05) references 'Note T. Segment Information' for segment discussion; older filing (2026-05-07) referenced 'Note S. Segment Information'.
- Removed:
- Older filing (2026-05-07) stated the acquisition purchase price was 'subject to certain adjustments'; this phrase is removed in the newer filing (2026-08-05).
- Older filing (2026-05-07) referenced 'Note S. Segment Information'; the newer filing (2026-08-05) does not contain this reference, replacing it with 'Note T. Segment Information'.
- Reworded:
- Newer filing (2026-08-05) describes 2026 net sales expectations as driven by 'the Defense and On-Highway end markets'; older filing (2026-05-07) described them as driven by 'the Defense and Outside North America On-Highway end markets'.
- Newer filing (2026-08-05) presents direct material, overhead, and direct labor cost percentages of cost of sales for the 'six months ended June 30, 2026' as approximately 64%, 30%, and 6% respectively; older filing (2026-05-07) presented these for the 'three months ended March 31, 2026' as approximately 72%, 22%, and 6% respectively.
- Notes:
- The newer filing text is truncated at the beginning of the Selling, general and administrative paragraph, so any changes after that point could not be assessed.
AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
0 open-market purchases and 5 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-04. The 5 days since 2026-10-04 have not been checked yet.
- Last 90 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 5 sells ($4M) — 3 selling insiders
- Last 180 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 7 sells ($4M) — 4 selling insiders
Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-08-21. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-04; anything filed since is not yet included.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about ALSN's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Institutional ownership (13F)
6 institutional 13F filers reported holding ALSN as of 2026-06-30 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).
- Distinct 13F filers 6
- Reported shares held 20,957,831
- Reported value $2,362,785,867
reported quarterly holdings change (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30): 0 new, 3 increased, 3 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".
Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.
Ask about ALSN's institutional holders → See what each manager we track holds →
Short interest (FINRA)
ALSN had 2,419,049 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
ALSN had 2.93% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 3.83 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 2,419,049
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 2.93%
- Prior settlement (shares) 2,772,809
- Reported change -12.76%
- Days to cover (reported) 3.83
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-15 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Cummins (CMI)
- Eaton (ETN)
- ZF Friedrichshafen
- Voith
- Dana Incorporated (DAN)
- Meritor (now part of Cummins)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
Compare ALSN vs…
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Frequently asked questions
What does Allison Transmission (ALSN) do?
Allison Transmission is a leading designer and manufacturer of vehicle propulsion solutions, including fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles. Its products are widely used in trucks, buses, construction equipment, and defense applications. The company operates globally to provide high-performance propulsion systems that enhance vehicle efficiency and reliability.
What sector is Allison Transmission (ALSN) in?
Allison Transmission (ALSN) is classified in the Industrials sector. Its industry is Automotive Parts / Powertrain Systems. It trades on NYSE.
Does ALSN pay a dividend?
Yes — Allison Transmission (ALSN) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 0.99% and at least 4 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC EDGAR XBRL) — we do not hold the year before it, so the real streak may be longer (market data, as of 2026-09-03). Informational only — not financial advice.
Who are Allison Transmission's (ALSN) competitors?
Notable peers of Allison Transmission (ALSN) include Cummins, Eaton, ZF Friedrichshafen, Voith and Dana Incorporated. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is Allison Transmission (ALSN) overbought or oversold right now?
Allison Transmission (ALSN) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 33, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-10-08). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on ALSN come from?
Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-03; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-10-08.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.