APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI)
Financials · Commercial real estate lending REIT · NYSE
A REIT that originates and acquires performing commercial mortgage loans and real estate debt investments, externally managed by Apollo Global Management's real estate platform.
What APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA does
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is a REIT that originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. As of December 31, 2025, the company held approximately $8.7 billion of commercial mortgage loans and $62.2 million of subordinate loans, financed through secured debt arrangements and senior notes. The company is externally managed by Apollo Global Management and benefits from Apollo's infrastructure and origination platform to source and manage real estate financing opportunities. As a REIT, the company generates income through interest on loans and distributions from real estate assets, with a stated objective of providing attractive risk-adjusted returns to stockholders primarily through dividends.
Themes: commercial real estate debt, real estate financing, REIT, alternative asset management exposure
Fundamentals
- Price$6.93 as of 2026-08-21 close
- Market cap$889M as of 2026-08-21
- 1-year return-31.2% 2025-08-21 close $10.07 → 2026-08-21 close $6.93
- P/E6.98 as of 2026-08-24
- Net margin+17.3% as of 2026-08-24
- Gross margin+36.0% as of 2026-08-24
- ROE+6.9% as of 2026-08-24
- Debt / equity4.50 as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue growth (YoY)-4.8% as of 2026-08-24
- Revenue CAGR (3y)-3.7% SEC XBRL
- Beta1.49 as of 2026-08-24
- Last reported earnings2026-08-11 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)
Dividend: yield +13.1%; 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC XBRL).
How ARI compares in its sector
- price-to-earnings ratiobottom 10% 525 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- net profit marginmiddle range 538 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- operating marginmiddle range 534 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- gross marginbottom 25% 176 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- return on equitybottom 25% 575 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
- 3-year revenue CAGRbottom 10% 347 covered Financials peers
- indicated dividend yieldtop 10% 453 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-08-24
Position among covered Financials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.
Dividend coverage (FY2025)
Exceeded at least one reported measure. In FY2025, ARI's dividend exceeded at least one reported measure of what it earned or generated (earnings payout 111%, operating-cash-flow payout 99%). A payout above 100% in one year is not necessarily unsustainable, but it is not fully covered by that measure.
- Earnings payout111% dividends / net income
- Operating-cash-flow payout99% dividends / operating cash flow — capital spending was not reported, so this does not subtract it
Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.
How APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA looks technically
APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) is trading 30.5% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 22 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. A strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 54, with sellers in control. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 36, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). It made a new 20-day high about 2 trading days ago. It is 38.3% below its highest point of the past year. Trading volume is unusually light — only about 35% of its 30-day average.
Trend
8
| Distance from the 200-day | it is trading 30.5% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend | -30.5% |
|---|---|---|
| 50-day moving average | its average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $8.54 | $8.54 |
| 200-day moving average | its average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $9.97 | $9.97 |
| Swing structure | each recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes next | lower highs and lower lows |
| Last swing turn | its last significant turn was a swing high 8 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on | 8 sessions |
| Wave structure | its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five; the labelling fails if price closes above 6.995. It is the only labelling that fits, though not with textbook proportions, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. | possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 3 (atypical proportions) |
| Since the 50/200 cross | its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 22 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal | 22 sessions |
| Trend strength (14-day ADX) | a strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 54, with sellers in control | 53.6 |
Momentum
3
| 14-day RSI | momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 36, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30) | 36.1 |
|---|---|---|
| Position in its 14-day range | it is trading near the top of its 14-day range ($6.63 to $7.00) — its "stochastic" reading is 82 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions. | 82.1 |
| Since the MACD crossed zero | MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in positive territory (momentum leaning bullish) | 14 sessions |
Range
12
| 52-week high | its highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $11.24 | $11.24 |
|---|---|---|
| From the 52-week high | it is 38.3% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year) | -38.4% |
| Above the 52-week low | it is 7.8% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year) | +7.8% |
| Below the 52-week high | it is 38.3% below its highest point of the past year | 38.4% |
| Since a 20-day breakout | it made a new 20-day high about 2 trading days ago | 2 sessions |
| Since a 55-day breakout | it made a new 55-day low about 17 trading days ago | 17 sessions |
| All-time high | its highest closing price on record is $19.91 (set on 2017-04-27) | $19.91 |
| Given back of the 52-week move | over the past year its closes ranged ($6.50 to $11.22), and it has recovered only a small part of its fall from last year’s high — 9% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $9.42 to $9.57. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast. | 9.1% |
| From the all-time high | it is 65.2% below its all-time high | -65.2% |
| Nearest price level | it is trading 22.8% below a resistance level at $8.51 — a price it turned at four times since 2024-10-10, most recently on 2025-01-13. Since 2024-08-21 it has 0 such levels below the current price and 11 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go. | +22.8% |
| All-time low | its lowest closing price on record is $4.12 (set on 2020-03-24) | $4.12 |
| Above the all-time low | it is 68.2% above its all-time low | +68.2% |
Volatility
5
| Band width vs its own 6 months | day-to-day price swings are about average versus its own recent 6-month history | 64th percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Typical daily range | in a typical session it travels about $0.1826 between its high and its low — about 2.6% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was | $0.1826 |
| Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ) | most of its recent trading has stayed between about $6.52 and $7.00 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles | $6.52 – $6.76 – $7.00 |
| Typical daily range (% of price) | its price moves about 2.6% in a typical session — calmer than most companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price | 2.6% |
| Stretch from the 200-day average | it is trading 16.6 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (30.5% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale | 16.6 daily ranges below its 200-day average |
Volume
1
| Volume vs its 30-day average | trading volume is unusually light — only about 35% of its 30-day average | 0.35× |
|---|
Analyst
2
| Change in the average price target | analysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading | 0.0% |
|---|---|---|
| Change in the consensus rating | the analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior reading | unchanged |
Candlestick patterns
1
| Since a doji | today it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level | today |
|---|
Price gaps
2
| Gap at the open | it opened on 2026-08-21 0.1% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close | -0.1% |
|---|---|---|
| Open gap | it gapped 34.9% below the previous close 26 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 10.54 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed | -34.9% |
Price streaks
1
| Closing streak | it closed lower in its latest session, after a session that did not close lower — a single down day rather than a run | 1 session down |
|---|
Relative strength
4
| vs market, 1 month | over the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 1.6 percentage points (the stock gained 0.7% while the market gained 2.3%) | -1.6% |
|---|---|---|
| vs market, 3 months | over the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 39.8 percentage points (the stock lost 36.7% while the market gained 3.1%) | -39.8% |
| vs market, 6 months | over the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 45.9 percentage points (the stock lost 34.8% while the market gained 11.1%) | -45.9% |
| vs market, 12 months | over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 51.7 percentage points (the stock lost 31.2% while the market gained 20.5%) | -51.7% |
Signal agreement
2
| Bullish technical signals | 2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: a fresh 20-day high, MACD momentum is positive — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 2 of 9 |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish technical signals | 6 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a strong downtrend, with sellers in control, a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, lagging the market over 6 months, near the top of its 14-day range (overbought), trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast | 6 of 9 |
Trend (Ichimoku cloud)
1
| Vs the Ichimoku cloud | trading 22% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-16 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is moderate, spanning 2.0% of the share price. | -21.8% |
|---|
Volume-weighted price
2
| Vs this year’s average price paid | the price is 25% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $9.30 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 157 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | -25.5% |
|---|---|---|
| Vs the average paid since it last reported | the price is 1% above the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-10 (its 10-Q), so the typical buyer over that stretch is showing a gain. That average is $6.85 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 10 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP. | +1.1% |
Price levels it has turned at before
ARI last closed at $6.93 on 2026-08-21. Since 2024-08-21 it has turned at 0 prices below its last close and 11 above; the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.
| Level | Side | Distance | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| $8.51 | Resistance | 22.8% above the last close | turned there four times · 2024-10-10 to 2025-01-13 |
| $8.67 | Resistance | 25.1% above the last close | turned there twice · 2024-12-18 to 2025-02-03 |
| $9.07 | Resistance | 30.8% above the last close | turned there six times · 2024-10-16 to 2025-01-28 |
A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.
Wave structure
Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five.
This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $7.00.
It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones.
This reading has stood for 1 trading day, since 2026-08-21.
Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-21.
An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.
Screens: Trading below the 200-day moving average · Recent death cross (50-day crossed below 200-day) · Pulled back from the 12-month high · Broke out to a new 20-day high · lagging the market · Printed a doji candle | Learn: moving average · golden cross · adx · rsi · breakout · fifty two week high low · volume and relative volume
Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-21. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.
Analyst consensus
- Consensus ratingBuy (2.00 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 2 analysts
- Mean price target$8.00 range $7.75 – $8.25
Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-17. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.
Analyst EPS estimate for ARI
- Consensus EPS estimate$0.05319 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-17
Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.
The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.
Key risks (from latest filing)
["Interest rate risk and refinancing risk as the company's net interest income depends on spreads between loan yields and funding costs in a volatile interest rate environment","Credit risk exposure to commercial real estate borrowers and properties; portfolio performance depends on property valuations, debt service coverage ratios, and borrower financial health","Proposed asset sale to Athene could materially alter the company's strategy, operations, and revenue generation if the transaction closes"]
Insider activity (SEC Form 4)
No open-market insider purchases or sales recorded in the last 90 days.
- Last 180 days0 buys · 1 sell ($49993) — 1 selling insider
Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-05-13. As of 2026-08-24.
View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filingsAsk about ARI's insider activity →
Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.
Short interest (FINRA)
ARI had 5,529,929 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).
ARI had 4.31% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 1 days to cover at the same settlement.
- Reported short interest (shares) 5,529,929
- Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 4.31%
- Prior settlement (shares) 4,829,386
- Reported change 14.51%
- Days to cover (reported) 1
Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.
Competitors & peers
- Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT)
- KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)
- Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
- Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE)
- Ladder Capital (LADR)
- Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.
Compare ARI vs…
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Frequently asked questions
What does APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) do?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is a REIT that originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. As of December 31, 2025, the company held approximately $8.7 billion of commercial mortgage loans and $62.2 million of subordinate loans, financed through secured debt arrangements and senior notes.
What sector is APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) in?
APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) is classified in the Financials sector. Its industry is Commercial real estate lending REIT. It trades on NYSE.
Does ARI pay a dividend?
Yes — APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 13.06% and 1-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC EDGAR XBRL) (market data, as of 2026-08-24). Informational only — not financial advice.
Who are APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA's (ARI) competitors?
Notable peers of APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) include Blackstone Mortgage Trust, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust, Starwood Property Trust, Ares Commercial Real Estate and Ladder Capital. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.
Is APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) overbought or oversold right now?
APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINA (ARI) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 36, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-21). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.
Where does stocks-llm's data on ARI come from?
Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-24; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.
Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-24. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.
Last updated 2026-08-21.
Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.