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Vistra Corp . (VST)

Utilities · Electric Utilities / Independent Power Producers · NYSE

Vistra is a major integrated retail electricity and power generation company serving customers across competitive US markets.

What Vistra Corp . does

Vistra Corp. is a retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates a large portfolio of power plants and provides electricity and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across various competitive markets in the United States.

Themes: power generation, retail electricity, energy commodities, energy infrastructure, competitive power markets

Fundamentals

  • Price$135.66 as of 2026-08-24 close
  • Market cap$45.5B as of 2026-08-24
  • 1-year return-28.8% 2025-08-22 close $190.46 → 2026-08-24 close $135.66
  • P/E20.79 as of 2026-08-24
  • Net margin+12.2% as of 2026-08-24
  • Gross margin+8.7% as of 2026-08-24
  • ROE+43.3% as of 2026-08-24
  • Debt / equity3.67 as of 2026-08-24
  • Revenue growth (YoY)+15.7% as of 2026-08-24
  • Revenue CAGR (3y)+8.9% SEC XBRL
  • Beta1.84 as of 2026-08-24
  • Last reported earnings2026-08-07 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)

Dividend: yield +0.6%; at least 4 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC XBRL) — we do not hold the year before it, so the real streak may be longer.

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How VST compares in its sector

  • price-to-earnings ratiomiddle range 67 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • net profit marginmiddle range 71 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • operating marginmiddle range 71 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • gross marginbottom 25% 53 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • return on equitytop 10% 72 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • 3-year revenue CAGRtop 25% 70 covered Utilities peers
  • indicated dividend yieldbottom 10% 67 covered Utilities peers, as of 2026-08-24
  • free cash flow (absolute dollars, latest fiscal year)top 10% 57 covered Utilities peers, as of FY2025

Position among covered Utilities companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.

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Top 10 scores & list membership

VST is not currently in any published Top 10 list. Its scores are below.

Long-term score

42.1 #766 of 987 scored · #41 of 55 in Utilities

  • Profitability74.5
  • Growth72.7
  • Financial health12.9
  • Valuation32.1
  • Capital return36.1
  • Long-term trend11.7

Profitability 75th (return on equity 43.3%, operating margin 19.4%) and growth 73rd (revenue growth year over year 15.7%, 3-year revenue CAGR 8.9%); weakest is long-term trend (12th, over the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 48.9 percentage points).

Short-term score

34.4 #1572 of 1,704 scored · #54 of 59 in Utilities

  • Trend15.3
  • Momentum38.7
  • Setup61.8
  • Volume and participation58.7
  • Catalysts8.2

Setup 62nd: no Elliott-wave labelling currently fits its swings; volume and participation 59th: trading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average; weakest is catalysts 8th: open-market insider buys in 90 days 0, the analyst consensus rating has softened toward "sell" since the prior reading.

Scores as of 21 Aug 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 2.

Dividend coverage (FY2025)

Covered by reported results. In FY2025, VST's dividend was covered by reported results (earnings payout 32%, free-cash-flow payout 23%). This describes past coverage, not a forecast.

  • Earnings payout32% dividends / net income
  • Free-cash-flow payout23% dividends / (operating cash flow − capex)

Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.

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How Vistra Corp . looks technically

Vistra Corp . (VST) is trading 15.1% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 154 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. There is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 16, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend. Momentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 37, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30). MACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 4 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative). It just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-05-19, breaking below its recent trading range. It is 2.7% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year).

Trend

8
Distance from the 200-dayit is trading 15.1% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend-15.1%
50-day moving averageits average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $153.35$153.35
200-day moving averageits average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $160.49$160.49
Swing structureeach recent peak has been lower than the one before it and each dip deeper — the pattern chart-watchers call a downtrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes nextlower highs and lower lows
Last swing turnits last significant turn was a swing high 7 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on7 sessions
Wave structureits recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five; the labelling fails if price closes above 150.18. It is one of several labellings that fit, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next. The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C.possible downward five-wave sequence, in wave 3 (one of several readings)
Since the 50/200 crossits 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 154 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal154 sessions
Trend strength (14-day ADX)there is no clear trend right now — the price is choppy (ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 16, below the 25 that marks a real trend), though sellers have been pushing harder than buyers lately — pressure, not a trend15.8

Momentum

3
14-day RSImomentum is neutral — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 37, neither overbought (above 70) nor oversold (below 30)37.1
Position in its 14-day rangeit is trading near the bottom of its 14-day range ($134.75 to $156.99) — its "stochastic" reading is 7 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been slipping within that range over the last few sessions.6.6
Since the MACD crossed zeroMACD, a trend-momentum gauge, turned bearish about 4 trading days ago (its momentum flipped negative)4 sessions

Range

12
52-week highits highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $219.82$219.82
From the 52-week highit is 38.0% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year)-38.0%
Above the 52-week lowit is 2.7% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year)+2.7%
Below the 52-week highit is 38.0% below its highest point of the past year38.0%
Since a 20-day breakoutit just made a new 20-day low, its first since 2026-05-19, breaking below its recent trading range1 session
Since a 55-day breakoutit just made a new 55-day low, its first since 2026-05-19, breaking below its recent trading range1 session
All-time highits highest closing price on record is $219.82 (set on 2025-09-22)$219.82
Given back of the 52-week moveover the past year its closes ranged ($134.71 to $217.92), and it has recovered essentially none of its fall from last year’s high — 2% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $186.13 to $188.80. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast.1.8%
From the all-time highit is 38.0% below its all-time high-38.0%
Nearest price levelit is trading 2.0% below a resistance level at $138.95 — a price it turned at four times since 2024-10-17, most recently on 2026-06-11. Since 2024-08-21 it has 2 such levels below the current price and 13 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go.+2.0%
All-time lowits lowest closing price on record is $11.30 (set on 2020-03-18)$11.30
Above the all-time lowit is 1105.4% above its all-time low+1,105%

Volatility

5
Band width vs its own 6 monthsday-to-day price swings are about average versus its own recent 6-month history30th percentile
Typical daily rangein a typical session it travels about $6.04 between its high and its low — about 4.4% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was$6.04
Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ)most of its recent trading has stayed between about $134.81 and $155.24 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles$134.81 – $145.03 – $155.24
Typical daily range (% of price)its price moves about 4.4% in a typical session — about typical for the companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price4.4%
Stretch from the 200-day averageit is trading 4.0 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (15.1% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale4.0 daily ranges below its 200-day average

Volume

1
Volume vs its 30-day averagetrading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average1.13×

Analyst

2
Change in the average price targetanalysts have cut their average price target by 0.4% since the prior reading-0.4%
Change in the consensus ratingthe analyst consensus rating has softened toward "sell" since the prior reading0.02 toward sell

Candlestick patterns

2
Since a doji6 sessions ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level6 sessions ago
Since a bearish engulfing1 session ago it opened above the previous session's close and finished below that session's open — a "bearish engulfing" pair, where one down day more than undid the up day before it1 session ago

Price gaps

3
Gap at the openit opened on 2026-08-21 0.8% above the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close+0.8%
Open gapit gapped 2.0% below the previous close 18 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 157.08 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed-2.0%
Gap filleda 2.8% gap up opened on 2026-08-12 has been "filled" 6 sessions ago — price traded back through the level the gap left behind, and it took 1 session to close6 sessions ago

Price streaks

1
Closing streakit has closed lower 2 sessions in a row, a -4.55% move over the run — an unbroken run of down days, which describes what has already happened and says nothing about the next session2 sessions down

Relative strength

4
vs market, 1 monthover the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 18.4 percentage points (the stock lost 16.1% while the market gained 2.3%)-18.4%
vs market, 3 monthsover the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 11.7 percentage points (the stock lost 8.6% while the market gained 3.1%)-11.7%
vs market, 6 monthsover the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 31.6 percentage points (the stock lost 20.5% while the market gained 11.1%)-31.6%
vs market, 12 monthsover the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 48.9 percentage points (the stock lost 28.4% while the market gained 20.5%)-48.9%

Signal agreement

2
Bullish technical signals1 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it is currently in a bullish state: near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast1 of 9
Bearish technical signals6 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, MACD momentum is negative, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast6 of 9

Trend (Ichimoku cloud)

1
Vs the Ichimoku cloudtrading 10% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-07-16 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is moderate, spanning 3.6% of the share price.-10.4%

Volume-weighted price

2
Vs this year’s average price paidthe price is 13% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $156.64 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 157 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-13.0%
Vs the average paid since it last reportedthe price is 4% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-08-07 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $142.41 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 11 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-4.3%

Price levels it has turned at before

VST last closed at $136.21 on 2026-08-21. Since 2024-08-21 it has turned at 2 prices below its last close and 13 above; the 2 nearest below and the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.

LevelSideDistanceEvidence
$138.95Resistance2.0% above the last closeturned there four times · 2024-10-17 to 2026-06-11
$132.66Support2.6% below the last closeturned there four times · 2024-12-18 to 2026-05-19
$143.66Resistance5.5% above the last closeturned there three times · 2024-10-07 to 2026-03-31
$149.12Resistance9.5% above the last closeturned there five times · 2025-05-22 to 2026-08-14
$103.85Support23.8% below the last closeturned there twice · 2025-03-10 to 2025-04-21

A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.

Wave structure

Its recent swings can be read as a five-part downward sequence — what Elliott-wave chartists call an impulse — now in leg 3 of five.

This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $150.18.

This is one of several labellings that fit the same swings, so treat it as a reading rather than the reading. It was chosen from 2 labellings that survived the rules, counting shorter readings of the same bars.

On past moves of this shape the leg has usually ended somewhere between $93.53 and $115.17 — that is where it has tended to end if the count holds, not a forecast of where the price goes.

Alternate reading: The same swings also read as a three-part correction in leg C, which fails on a close above $150.18.

This reading has stood for 1 trading day, since 2026-08-21.

Read from daily closes as of 2026-08-21.

An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.

Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-08-21. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.

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Analyst consensus

  • Consensus ratingStrong Buy (1.37 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 18 analysts
  • Mean price target$221.28 range $106.00 – $313.00; median $219.50

Analyst estimates, as of 2026-08-18. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.

Analyst EPS estimate for VST

  • Consensus EPS estimate$2.80 next reporting period, as of 2026-08-18

Change over time is not available yet: it needs two readings of the same reporting period at least 30 days apart, and we have been recording these estimates since 2026-08-04. An estimate for a DIFFERENT quarter is not a revision, so a reading from before the last report is never compared with one after it.

The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.

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Key risks (from latest filing)

["Significant exposure to volatile commodity prices (electricity, natural gas) which impact revenue and operating costs.","Regulatory and legislative changes affecting energy markets and environmental standards.","Operational risks associated with large-scale power generation facilities, including nuclear and fossil fuel assets."]

See VST's biggest risks from its latest 10-Q →

What changed in the latest 10-Q

AI-assisted comparison of VST's 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 against the prior one filed 2025-11-07.

Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)

  • Reworded:
    • Reference to '2025 Form 10-K' in newer filing (2026-05-08) vs. '2024 Form 10-K' in older filing (2025-11-07)
  • Notes:
    • Both text excerpts are minimal fragments; full MD&A sections not provided for complete comparison
    • Change reflects expected annual update to prior year Form 10-K reference

Risk Factors

  • Added:
    • Item 2 table showing share repurchases for three months ended March 31, 2026 with monthly breakdown (January, February, March 2026) including shares purchased, average prices, and remaining repurchase authorization (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Board authorization for share repurchases of $1.00 billion in October 2025 (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Cumulative authorization at March 31, 2026 of $7.75 billion for share repurchases (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Expectation to complete repurchases under Share Repurchase Program by end of 2027 (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Details of five directors' 10b5-1 trading plans adopted in March 2026: Scott Helm (50,000 shares, effective June 15, 2026, terminating December 31, 2026), Gavin Baiera (25,000 shares, effective June 17, 2026, terminating March 12, 2027), Paul Barbas (488 shares for tax withholding, effective June 12, 2026, terminating December 31, 2026), Arcilia Acosta (15,000 shares, effective June 15, 2026, terminating March 12, 2027), John R. Sult (19,500 shares, effective June 15, 2026, terminating December 31, 2026) (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Specific exhibits including Purchase and Sale Agreement dated December 31, 2025 filed in Form 8-K on January 5, 2026 (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Description of Vistra's 12 surface lignite coal mines in Texas and two waste-to-energy surface facilities in Pennsylvania with MSHA regulation details (filed 2026-05-08)
  • Removed:
    • Most of the glossary of terms and abbreviations that appeared in the older 10-Q (filed 2025-11-07) is not included in the newer filing's Risk Factors section (filed 2026-05-08)
  • Reworded:
    • Risk Factors section changed from full listing to reference to 2025 Form 10-K with statement about additional unknown factors (filed 2026-05-08)
    • Item structure changed: older filing shows table of contents format listing items 1A-6 on pages 80-81, while newer filing shows detailed Item content with page numbers (65-66) (filed 2026-05-08)
  • Notes:
    • The older filing (2025-11-07) appears to be a table of contents or cover page showing only section headers, not the full text of Items 1A-6, making full substantive comparison limited
    • The newer filing (2026-05-08) contains the actual detailed Item content for the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, which would not have been comparable in the older filing if it only contained headers

AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

0 open-market purchases and 7 open-market sales by insiders in the last 90 days.

  • Last 90 days0 buys · 7 sells ($8M) — 5 selling insiders
  • Last 180 days0 buys · 8 sells ($9M) — 5 selling insiders

Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)

Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-06-18. As of 2026-08-25.

View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filings

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Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.

Congressional trading disclosures

U.S. House members publicly disclose their own, their spouse's, and dependent children's stock transactions under the STOCK Act. We hold 10 matched disclosures for VST from U.S. House Clerk Periodic Transaction Report filings.

Congressional trading disclosures →

Institutional ownership (13F)

6 institutional 13F filers reported holding VST as of 2026-03-31 (quarter-end position, filed within 45 days).

  • Distinct 13F filers 6
  • Reported shares held 66,046,707
  • Reported value $9,928,801,433

reported quarterly holdings change (2025-12-31 → 2026-03-31): 0 new, 3 increased, 3 decreased, 0 exited. Change counts cover only managers that filed 13F reports in BOTH quarters, derived between two quarter-end snapshots — not same-day trades; a single manager is never said to have "bought" or "sold".

Institutional holdings are quarter-end long positions reported on SEC Form 13F-HR, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends — they are delayed, are not real-time trades, exclude short positions and most non-US securities, and are not investment advice. Any increase/decrease is a reported change between two quarterly snapshots, not a same-day purchase or sale. These are quarter-end snapshots from the 13F filings on SEC EDGAR, filed within 45 days — not real-time, and any change is a difference between two quarterly reports, not a same-day trade. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Short interest (FINRA)

VST had 8,680,253 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).

VST had 2.59% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-07-31 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 2.05 days to cover at the same settlement.

  • Reported short interest (shares) 8,680,253
  • Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 2.59%
  • Prior settlement (shares) 12,604,861
  • Reported change -31.14%
  • Days to cover (reported) 2.05

Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Competitors & peers

AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.

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Frequently asked questions

What does Vistra Corp . (VST) do?

Vistra Corp. is a retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates a large portfolio of power plants and provides electricity and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across various competitive markets in the United States.

What sector is Vistra Corp . (VST) in?

Vistra Corp . (VST) is classified in the Utilities sector. Its industry is Electric Utilities / Independent Power Producers. It trades on NYSE.

Does VST pay a dividend?

Yes — Vistra Corp . (VST) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 0.62% and at least 4 years of non-decreasing per-share dividends (SEC EDGAR XBRL) — we do not hold the year before it, so the real streak may be longer (market data, as of 2026-08-24). Informational only — not financial advice.

Who are Vistra Corp .'s (VST) competitors?

Notable peers of Vistra Corp . (VST) include Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, NextEra Energy, AES Corp and Duke Energy. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.

Has there been recent Congressional stock trading in VST?

Yes — we hold 10 matched STOCK Act disclosures for VST from U.S. House Clerk Periodic Transaction Report filings. These are legally-required disclosures (often filed 30–45 days after the trade), may belong to a U.S. House member, their spouse, or a dependent child, and are not an indicator of company performance or investment advice.

Is Vistra Corp . (VST) overbought or oversold right now?

Vistra Corp . (VST) is currently neither overbought nor oversold — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 37, in the neutral middle (as of 2026-08-21). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.

Where does stocks-llm's data on VST come from?

Fundamentals and prices come from market data, as of 2026-08-24; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.

Fundamentals: market data, as of 2026-08-24. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.

Last updated 2026-08-24.

Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.

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