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Annaly Capital Management (NLY)

Financials · Mortgage REIT (mREIT) · NYSE

Annaly Capital Management is a leading mortgage REIT focused on generating consistent risk-adjusted returns through a diversified portfolio of Agency mortgage-backed securities, residential credit, and mortgage servicing rights.

What Annaly Capital Management does

Annaly Capital Management is a diversified capital manager that invests primarily in residential and commercial mortgage assets. The company operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT), generating income from the spread between the interest earned on its portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and mortgage loans, and the cost of its short-term borrowings. Annaly’s portfolio consists of Agency MBS, residential credit, and mortgage servicing rights.

Themes: mortgage finance, real estate investment trust (REIT), interest rate environment, mortgage servicing rights, fixed income investment

Fundamentals

  • Price$18.27 as of 2026-10-08 close
  • Market cap$13.8B as of 2026-07-24 (share count; price 2026-10-08)
  • 1-year return-12.8% 2025-10-08 close $20.95 → 2026-10-08 close $18.27
  • P/E4.33 as of 2026-10-08
  • ROE+12.6% FY2025, SEC XBRL
  • Debt / equity7.38 as of 2026-09-03
  • Revenue growth (YoY)+50.9% as of 2026-09-03
  • Beta0.66 as of 2026-09-03
  • Last reported earnings2026-07-21 SEC EDGAR Form 8-K (Item 2.02)

Dividend: yield +14.3%; 3-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC XBRL).

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How NLY compares in its sector

  • price-to-earnings ratiobottom 10% 513 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-10-08
  • return on equitymiddle range 559 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-09-03
  • indicated dividend yieldtop 10% 468 covered Financials peers, as of 2026-09-03

Position among covered Financials companies that report each metric (minimum 5 peers). A relative position within our covered catalog — not a valuation, quality, or investment judgment. A higher percentile is simply a higher value (for P/E, more expensive on earnings — never "better"). Informational only.

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Top 10 scores & list membership

NLY is not currently in any published Top 10 list. Its scores are below.

Top 10 score

52.5 #595 of 1,379 scored · #151 of 220 in Financials

  • Profitability55.7
  • Growth95.9
  • Financial health4.3
  • Valuation97.7
  • Capital return26.7
  • Trend21.2

Valuation 98th (price to earnings 4.3, price to book 0.8) and growth 96th (revenue growth year over year 50.9%); weakest is financial health (4th, debt to equity 7.4).

Scores as of 8 Oct 2026. Each bar is a percentile: how this company ranked against every company the score ranked, 0–100. A list is a published formula and its output, not a recommendation. Method version 4.

Dividend coverage (FY2025)

Exceeded at least one reported measure. In FY2025, NLY's dividend exceeded at least one reported measure of what it earned or generated (earnings payout 93%, operating-cash-flow payout 272%). A payout above 100% in one year is not necessarily unsustainable, but it is not fully covered by that measure.

  • Earnings payout93% dividends / net income
  • Operating-cash-flow payout272% dividends / operating cash flow — capital spending was not reported, so this does not subtract it

Coverage derived from reported SEC EDGAR XBRL figures for FY2025 (dividends paid vs. net income and free cash flow, same fiscal year). This describes PAST coverage for one fiscal year — it does not predict whether a dividend will be maintained, raised, or cut, and a one-year payout ratio can be distorted by non-recurring items. Informational only — not financial advice.

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How Annaly Capital Management looks technically

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is trading 18.2% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend. Its 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 9 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal. A strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 57, with sellers in control. Momentum is beaten down — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 21, in oversold territory (below 30). It made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago. It is 2.9% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year).

Trend

8
Distance from the 200-dayit is trading 18.2% below its 200-day average, the long-term trend line — a long-term downtrend-18.2%
50-day moving averageits average price over the last 50 trading days — a short-term trend line — is $21.85$21.85
200-day moving averageits average price over the last 200 trading days — the long-term trend line — is $22.34$22.34
Swing structureeach recent peak has been higher than the one before it and each dip has been shallower — the pattern chart-watchers call an uptrend, which describes where price has already been and not where it goes nexthigher highs and higher lows
Last swing turnits last significant turn was a swing high 50 calendar days ago — the swings before that are what the structure reading is measured on50 sessions
Wave structureits recent swings can be read as a completed three-part upward correction — a pullback in the A-B-C shape Elliott-wave chartists use; the labelling fails if price closes above 23.91. It is the only labelling that fits, and it describes the swings already printed, not what comes next.possible three-wave upward correction, complete
Since the 50/200 crossits 50-day average crossed below its 200-day average about 9 trading days ago — a "death cross", a bearish long-term signal9 sessions
Trend strength (14-day ADX)a strong downtrend is in place — ADX, a 0–100 trend-strength gauge, is 57, with sellers in control56.5

Momentum

3
14-day RSImomentum is beaten down — its 14-day RSI (a 0–100 momentum gauge) is 21, in oversold territory (below 30)21.4
Position in its 14-day rangeit is trading near the bottom of its 14-day range ($17.76 to $21.55) — its "stochastic" reading is 13 out of 100, where 0 would mean closing exactly at the 14-session low and 100 exactly at the high. This measures WHERE the price sits inside its recent range, which is a different question from the RSI beside it: RSI is a momentum gauge, measuring how FAST the price has been moving, so a stock can drift quietly to the bottom of its range with an ordinary RSI, or fall sharply and still sit in the middle. It has been climbing within that range over the last few sessions.13.5
Since the MACD crossed zeroMACD, a trend-momentum gauge, is in negative territory (momentum leaning bearish)32 sessions

Range

12
52-week highits highest closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days) was $24.52$24.52
From the 52-week highit is 25.5% below its 52-week high (its highest price of the past year)-25.5%
Above the 52-week lowit is 2.9% above its 52-week low (its lowest price of the past year)+2.9%
Below the 52-week highit is 25.5% below its highest point of the past year25.5%
Since a 20-day breakoutit made a new 20-day low about 2 trading days ago2 sessions
Since a 55-day breakoutit made a new 55-day low about 2 trading days ago2 sessions
All-time highits highest closing price on record is $84.80 (set on 2008-02-27)$84.80
Given back of the 52-week moveover the past year its closes ranged ($17.93 to $24.40), and it has recovered only a small part of its fall from last year’s high — 5% of it. Chart-watchers call 61.8%-65% given back the "golden pocket" — for this company that is $21.93 to $22.14. It is watched widely enough that orders cluster there, which is the honest reason it matters; it is not a forecast.5.3%
From the all-time highit is 78.5% below its all-time high-78.5%
Nearest price levelit is trading 1.9% below a resistance level at $18.63 — a price it turned at six times since 2024-10-29, most recently on 2025-06-30. Since 2024-10-08 it has 0 such levels below the current price and 10 above. Levels like these describe where the price has reversed or paused before; they are not a forecast of where it will go.+1.9%
All-time lowits lowest closing price on record is $14.04 (set on 2020-03-18)$14.04
Above the all-time lowit is 30.1% above its all-time low+30.1%

Volatility

5
Band width vs its own 6 monthsday-to-day price swings are unusually wide versus its own recent history (wider than about 99% of the past ~6 months)99th percentile
Typical daily rangein a typical session it travels about $0.4791 between its high and its low — about 2.6% of its price. That is its "average true range" over the last 14 sessions, which also counts the distance from the previous close, so a day that opens well away from yesterday counts as the large move it was$0.4791
Bollinger bands (20-day, ±2σ)most of its recent trading has stayed between about $17.47 and $22.87 — the "Bollinger bands", a range drawn two standard deviations either side of its 20-day average price, which widens when the stock gets more volatile and narrows when it settles$17.47 – $20.17 – $22.87
Typical daily range (% of price)its price moves about 2.6% in a typical session — calmer than most companies we cover. This is the average gap between a session's high and low over the last 14 sessions, counting overnight moves, expressed against the current price so it can be compared with companies trading at any price2.6%
Stretch from the 200-day averageit is trading 8.5 daily ranges below its 200-day average price (18.2% below it in plain percentage terms) — a way of asking how far it has stretched from its own average in units of how far it normally moves in a day, so a calm company and a jumpy one can be compared on the same scale8.5 daily ranges below its 200-day average

Volume

1
Volume vs its 30-day averagetrading volume is about normal versus its 30-day average1.86×

Analyst

2
Change in the average price targetanalysts' average price target is unchanged from the prior reading0.0%
Change in the consensus ratingthe analyst consensus rating is unchanged since the prior readingunchanged

Candlestick patterns

3
Since a doji5 sessions ago it opened and closed at almost the same price after trading through a wider range — a "doji", the classic picture of buyers and sellers finishing the session level5 sessions ago
Since a hammer9 sessions ago, after a stretch of decline, it sold off hard during the session and then closed back near its high — a "hammer", the long lower wick showing the drop was bought back before the close9 sessions ago
Since a bullish engulfingtoday it opened below the previous session's close and finished above that session's open — a "bullish engulfing" pair, where one up day more than undid the down day before ittoday

Price gaps

2
Gap at the openit opened on 2026-10-08 0.7% below the previous session's close — an overnight gap, the part of the move that happened while the market was shut, and traded back through that level before the close-0.7%
Open gapit gapped 3.2% below the previous close 6 sessions ago and has not traded back through the level it left behind at 20.32 — an "unfilled gap", which describes a price range no trade has since crossed and is not a forecast that it will be crossed-3.1%

Price streaks

1
Closing streakit closed higher in its latest session, after a session that did not close higher — a single up day rather than a run1 session up

Relative strength

4
vs market, 1 monthover the past 1 month this stock lagged the market by 20.6 percentage points (the stock lost 19.6% while the market gained 1.0%)-20.6%
vs market, 3 monthsover the past 3 months this stock lagged the market by 22.7 percentage points (the stock lost 18.9% while the market gained 3.8%)-22.7%
vs market, 6 monthsover the past 6 months this stock lagged the market by 32.2 percentage points (the stock lost 14.7% while the market gained 17.5%)-32.2%
vs market, 12 monthsover the past 12 months this stock lagged the market by 27.8 percentage points (the stock lost 12.8% while the market gained 15.0%)-27.8%

Signal agreement

2
Bullish technical signals2 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bullish state: its RSI momentum gauge is oversold (a beaten-down reading), near the bottom of its 14-day range (oversold) — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast2 of 9
Bearish technical signals7 of the 9 technical signals we can compute for it are currently in a bearish state: a "death cross" — its 50-day average is below its 200-day, trading below its 200-day average, a fresh 20-day low, MACD momentum is negative, a strong downtrend, with sellers in control, lagging the market over 6 months, trading below the Ichimoku cloud — these describe past price behaviour, not a forecast7 of 9

Trend (Ichimoku cloud)

1
Vs the Ichimoku cloudtrading 20% below the Ichimoku cloud — a band drawn from where its own highs and lows sat up to 2026-09-01 and projected forward over today's price, the side traders read as an established downtrend, with the band above acting as the level that would have to be cleared. The band itself is thin, spanning 1.2% of the share price, which is taken to mean a barrier that gives way easily.-20.4%

Volume-weighted price

2
Vs this year’s average price paidthe price is 17% below the average price paid so far this year, so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $22.03 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 191 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-17.1%
Vs the average paid since it last reportedthe price is 14% below the average price paid since it last reported on 2026-07-21 (its 8-K), so the typical buyer over that stretch is under water. That average is $21.24 — a volume-weighted average of daily closes over 57 sessions, not a true tick-by-tick VWAP.-14.0%

Price levels it has turned at before

NLY last closed at $18.27 on 2026-10-08. Since 2024-10-08 it has turned at 0 prices below its last close and 10 above; the 3 nearest above are listed, nearest first.

LevelSideDistanceEvidence
$18.63Resistance1.9% above the last closeturned there six times · 2024-10-29 to 2025-06-30
$19.48Resistance6.6% above the last closeturned there five times · 2024-11-20 to 2025-07-16
$20.03Resistance9.6% above the last closeturned there 7 times · 2024-11-08 to 2025-09-30

A level is a price this company reversed or paused at more than once — they describe past behaviour, not a forecast of where the price will go.

Wave structure

Its recent swings can be read as a three-part upward correction — the A-B-C shape chartists use for a pullback — now complete.

This labelling fails — stops being a possible reading at all — if it closes above $23.91.

It is the only labelling that fits these swings, though its proportions are not the textbook ones.

This reading has stood for 31 trading days, since 2026-08-26.

Read from daily closes as of 2026-10-08.

An Elliott-wave count describes the swings already printed and the level that would disprove it. It is not a forecast, a target, or advice.

Based on daily closing prices as of 2026-10-08. Describes past price behavior only — informational, not financial advice.

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Analyst consensus

  • Consensus ratingBuy (1.92 mean, 1=Strong Buy…5=Strong Sell) — 11 analysts
  • Mean price target$24.23 range $22.50 – $25.00; median $24.00

Analyst estimates, as of 2026-10-04. These are third-party analyst opinions and price targets, aggregated — not a recommendation, prediction, or advice from stocks-llm. Informational only.

Analyst EPS estimate for NLY

  • Consensus EPS estimate$0.7767 next reporting period, as of 2026-10-04
  • Estimate change, 30 days$0.00 (0.0%) from $0.7767, on 2026-08-30, 35-day window
  • Readings revised upward0% of 8 comparable readings

The consensus estimate for the next reporting period, and how it has moved between readings of that SAME period. A change is measured only between readings estimating one period — when a company reports, the consensus moves to the next quarter and the two numbers are not comparable. Informational only, not a forecast and not advice.

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Key risks (from latest filing)

["High sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and changes in yield curves.","Liquidity and credit risk associated with the use of repurchase agreements and leverage.","Prepayment risk related to the underlying mortgage assets, which can impact cash flows and portfolio valuation."]

See NLY's biggest risks from its latest 10-Q →

What changed in the latest 10-Q

AI-assisted comparison of NLY's 10-Q filed 2026-04-29 against the prior one filed 2025-10-30.

Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)

  • Added:
    • Portfolio activity included marginal additions to Agency CMBS holdings and repositioning within MBS portfolio by rotating down in coupon from 6.0% to 4.5% TBA securities (2026-04-29)
    • Portfolio's weighted average coupon decreased by six basis points to 5.06% (2026-04-29)
    • Residential Credit portfolio concluded quarter at $10.3 billion in market value, a 30% increase from previous quarter (2026-04-29)
    • Capital allocation to Residential Credit rose to 23% of firm's capital, a four-percentage point increase quarter-over-quarter (2026-04-29)
    • $6.7 billion in whole loan acquisitions settled during quarter, approximately 80% sourced through correspondent channel (2026-04-29)
    • Loan-Lock volumes reached $7.4 billion in Q1 2026, 16% increase quarter-over-quarter and 41% increase year-over-year (2026-04-29)
    • Q1 2026 residential credit gross issuance totaled $79 billion, nearly 50% higher than Q1 2025 volumes (2026-04-29)
    • OBX securitization platform settled eight securitizations totaling $4.7 billion, generating $570 million in proprietary assets (2026-04-29)
    • Year-to-date total of twelve securitizations and $6.6 billion following quarter-end (2026-04-29)
    • Quarter-end locked pipeline weighted average FICO score of 762, combined loan-to-value ratio of 67%, approximately 3% exceeding 80% combined LTV (2026-04-29)
    • MSR portfolio ended Q1 2026 at $4.2 billion in market value, increase of over $300 million quarter-over-quarter (2026-04-29)
    • Capital allocation to MSR grew to 21% from 19% at start of year (2026-04-29)
    • Commitments made to purchase $24 billion in unpaid principal balance of MSR, roughly $388 million in market value with weighted average note rate of 3.4% (2026-04-29)
    • Firm remained second largest buyer of conventional MSR in Q1 2026 and ranked fifth largest non-bank Agency MBS servicer (2026-04-29)
    • Purchases via flow channels totaled $1.9 billion in UPB, nearly double Q4 figure (2026-04-29)
    • MSR portfolio low prepay speeds at 4.2% and serious delinquencies below 50 basis points (2026-04-29)
    • MSR portfolio weighted average note rate of 3.3%, lowest among top 20 largest Agency MSR holders (2026-04-29)
    • MSR valuation multiple increased modestly to 5.94x during quarter (2026-04-29)
    • U.S. economy expanded in 2025 with real GDP growth of 2.1% year-over-year (2026-04-29)
    • Consumer spending advanced 2.6% year-over-year and private sector business investments grew 1.9% year-over-year in 2025 (2026-04-29)
    • GDP growth decelerated to end 2025 with 0.5% SAAR in Q4 2025 (2026-04-29)
    • Real final sales to private domestic purchasers expanded 1.8% SAAR in Q4 2025 (2026-04-29)
    • October/November 2025 government shutdown and federal workforce reduction resulted in one percentage point drag on Q4 2025 GDP growth (2026-04-29)
    • Net trade subtracted 22 basis points from Q4 2025 GDP (2026-04-29)
    • Middle East conflict brought significant energy price shock to U.S. economy (2026-04-29)
    • Q1 2026 GDP expected to rebound from Q4 2025 level but to lesser extent than forecasted ahead of Iran conflict (2026-04-29)
  • Removed:
    • Non-GAAP financial measures footnotes and definitions (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • GAAP leverage and economic leverage computation definitions (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • GAAP capital ratio and economic capital ratio definitions (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Return on average equity footnotes and calculations for three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024 (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Net interest margin footnote definitions (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Average yield on interest earning assets footnotes (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Average cost of interest bearing liabilities footnotes (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Net income (loss) discussion for three months ended September 30, 2025 vs 2024 (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Net income (loss) discussion for nine months ended September 30, 2025 vs 2024 (removed from 2026-04-29)
    • Earnings available for distribution for three months ended September 30, 2025 vs 2024 discussion (removed from 2026-04-29)
  • Reworded:
    • MD&A focus shifted from third quarter 2025 results comparison to first quarter 2026 portfolio activity and positioning (2026-04-29 vs 2025-10-30)
    • Economic environment section completely restructured to discuss 2025 full-year GDP growth and Q4 2025 trends rather than Q3 2025 results (2026-04-29 vs 2025-10-30)
  • Notes:
    • The two filings cover different reporting periods (Q1 2026 in newer filing vs Q3 2025 in older filing), which explains the substantial restructuring of content
    • The older filing contained extensive footnote definitions and prior-period comparisons that are not present in the newer filing excerpt
    • Comparison is based on different quarterly reporting cycles and portfolio focus areas

AI-assisted comparison of two SEC filing sections. It describes wording and theme changes only, makes no materiality, legal, or investment judgement, and is not financial advice. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

0 open-market purchases and 1 open-market sale by insiders in the last 90 days, of which we have read Form 4 filings through 2026-10-04. The 5 days since 2026-10-04 have not been checked yet.

  • Last 90 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 1 sell ($1M) — 1 selling insider
  • Last 180 days · read to 2026-10-040 buys · 3 sells ($3M) — 2 selling insiders

Activity heuristic: net selling (a transparent product heuristic from the counts above, not a prediction or advice)

Most recent open-market transaction: 2026-08-03. Based on Form 4 filings read through 2026-10-04; anything filed since is not yet included.

View full insider trading history → View SEC Form 3/4/5 filings

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Only open-market purchases (SEC code P) and sales (code S) are counted here. Option exercises, vesting/awards, gifts, and shares withheld for taxes are excluded — they are compensation or mechanical, not open-market conviction. Sales may be planned and non-discretionary (e.g. a Rule 10b5-1 plan) and are not necessarily bearish; open-market buying is not a recommendation to buy. Informational only — not financial advice.

Short interest (FINRA)

NLY had 18,383,272 shares of reported short interest as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (delayed, bi-monthly; not real-time).

NLY had 2.44% of its shares outstanding sold short as of the 2026-09-15 FINRA settlement date (percent of FLOAT would be higher — float is not disclosed in the source). FINRA reported 2.25 days to cover at the same settlement.

  • Reported short interest (shares) 18,383,272
  • Short interest (% of shares outstanding) 2.44%
  • Prior settlement (shares) 20,656,777
  • Reported change -11.01%
  • Days to cover (reported) 2.25

Reported to FINRA as of the 2026-09-15 settlement date. Short interest is reported to FINRA and published on a delayed, bi-monthly schedule (as of a settlement date, disseminated roughly eight business days later) — it is NOT real-time, does not cover every venue or all US trading, and is not a short-squeeze prediction or investment advice. Days-to-cover is the value FINRA reports; percent of float is not shown because the source file carries no share-count denominator — where a percent appears it is of shares OUTSTANDING, the larger base, and is therefore a floor on percent of float. Informational only — not financial advice.

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Competitors & peers

AI-enriched competitor set. Linked names are companies covered by stocks-llm; other named peers are shown for reference only.

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Frequently asked questions

What does Annaly Capital Management (NLY) do?

Annaly Capital Management is a diversified capital manager that invests primarily in residential and commercial mortgage assets. The company operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT), generating income from the spread between the interest earned on its portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and mortgage loans, and the cost of its short-term borrowings. Annaly’s portfolio consists of Agency MBS, residential credit, and mortgage servicing rights.

What sector is Annaly Capital Management (NLY) in?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is classified in the Financials sector. Its industry is Mortgage REIT (mREIT). It trades on NYSE.

Does NLY pay a dividend?

Yes — Annaly Capital Management (NLY) pays a dividend, with an indicated yield of about 14.25% and 3-year non-decreasing per-share dividend streak (SEC EDGAR XBRL) (market data, as of 2026-09-03). Informational only — not financial advice.

Who are Annaly Capital Management's (NLY) competitors?

Notable peers of Annaly Capital Management (NLY) include AGNC Investment, Starwood Property Trust, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Rithm Capital and Chimera Investment. This peer set is informational only — not financial advice.

Is Annaly Capital Management (NLY) overbought or oversold right now?

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is currently in oversold territory (its 14-day RSI is 21, below 30) (as of 2026-10-08). RSI describes recent price momentum, not a forecast — informational only, not financial advice.

Where does stocks-llm's data on NLY come from?

Fundamentals come from SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest; prices are market data, as of 2026-09-03; company filings and profile facts come from SEC EDGAR. All figures are delayed daily-close data shown with their as-of date — informational only, not financial advice.

Fundamentals: SEC XBRL company filings for the figures marked with a fiscal year, and market data, as of 2026-09-03 for the rest. Filings: SEC EDGAR. Prices are delayed daily-close data.

Last updated 2026-10-08.

Informational only — NOT financial advice. All figures are delayed daily-close data from SEC EDGAR & market data, shown with their as-of date.